853
FNUS76 KLOX 022004
FWSLOX
SPOT FORECAST FOR SANTA ROSA ISLAND FIRE...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
104 PM PDT TUE JUN 2 2026
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
WEDNESDAY WILL BE A TRANSITION DAY AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE
STARTS TO NUDGE INTO THE REGION AND SHIFT THROUGH FRIDAY. LESS
CONFIDENCE WITH WEDNESDAY MINIMUM HUMIDITIES, WHERE MINIMUM
HUMIDITIES COULD BE 10 PERCENT LOWER THAN FORECAST, ESPECIALLY
ACROSS HIGHER TERRAIN.
LESS CONFIDENCE IN WINDS THAN NORMAL DUE TO THE ONLY SENSOR BEING
ON THE WINDWARD/NORTHERN SIDE OF THE ISLAND, WITH LESSER CONFIDENCE
FOR WINDS WEDNESDAY THAN THURSDAY. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN
THE AFTERNOONS, BECOMING STRONGEST DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON
THROUGH EVENING HOURS, THEN BECOMING WEAKEST DURING THE DAWN TO MID-
MORNING HOURS. DUE TO THE WIND-SHELTERING FROM THE NORTHERN HALF OF
THE ISLAND, WIND GUSTS COULD BE OFF BY 5-10 MPH (2-5 MPH FOR EYE-
LEVEL WINDS) AT ANY POINT WEDNESDAY INTO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.
WINDS MAY FOLLOW TYPICAL DIURNAL PATTERNS (UPCANYON DURING DAYTIME
AND DOWNCANYON DURING NIGHT), MAINLY ACROSS LOWER ELEVATIONS ON
WEDNESDAY, AND ESPECIALLY ON THURSDAY (DUE TO WEAKER WINDS).
TRAVEL BY BOAT TO AND AROUND THE ISLAND MAY BE HAZARDOUS WITH
STRONG WINDS AND CHOPPY SEAS (UP TO 10 FEET POSSIBLE) LATE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON (STARTING AROUND 1600) INTO MID- THURSDAY MORNING (AROUND
0800). LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON INTO MID-THURSDAY MORNING, GALE
FORCE WINDS ARE LIKELY (35 KTS OR MORE) FOR THE WATERS WEST OF SANTA
CRUZ ISLAND AND IN BETWEEN THE ISLANDS, WITH AT LEAST SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY LEVEL (21 KTS OR MORE) WINDS FOR THE WATERS OUT TO SANTA
CRUZ ISLAND (SANTA BARBARA CHANNEL) FROM THE MAINLAND FOR THE SAME
TIMEFRAME.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY THEN BECOMING SUNNY. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-73.
HUMIDITY............65-75 PERCENT AT 0600. MIN 30-40 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST/DOWNCANYON WINDS 2-5 MPH EARLY, INCREASING TO
6-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5-10 MPH, INCREASING TO
15-25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTHWEST WINDS 6-12 MPH, INCREASING TO
20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL, INCREASING TO 1200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 MPH INCREASING TO 20-25 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-58.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 6-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 18 MPH,
DECREASING TO 2-5 MPH OVERNIGHT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 15-25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH,
DECREASING TO 6-10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTHWEST WINDS 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH,
DECREASING TO 8-12 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL, LOWERING TO 400 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20-25 MPH DECREASING TO 5-10
MPH OVERNIGHT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-71.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-60 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 2-5 MPH BECOMING 4-6 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6-10 MPH BECOMING 8-12 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO 18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTHWEST WINDS 8-12 MPH BECOMING 10-15 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO 22 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL, INCREASING TO 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
FORECASTER...LUND
REQUESTED BY...AARON LUDWIG
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2614040.2/LOX
.DELDT 05/28/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL KELLY_SINGER@NPS.GOV,DAVID_HOOD@FIRENET.GOV,AARON_LUDWIG@NPS.GOV,SAUL_TEJEDA@NPS.GOV
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