096
FXUS66 KLOX 262008
AFDLOX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
108 PM PDT FRI JUN 26 2026
SYNOPSIS
26/1146 AM.
MARINE LAYER STRATUS WITH PATCHY FOG WILL REOCCUR EACH NIGHT FROM
THE COASTS TO THE COASTAL VALLEYS, EXPANDING INTO THE VALLEYS
OVER THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL VERY GRADUALLY COOL THROUGH
MONDAY BEFORE STABILIZING. EXPECT BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES
THROUGH LATE NEXT WEEK, TRENDING TOWARD NORMAL BY NEXT WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM (TDY-MON)
26/1216 PM.
LATE MORNING SATELLITE SHOWS CONTINUED, GRADUAL EROSION OF THE
MARINE STRATUS LAYER ON THE COAST WITH MID- TO HIGH CLOUDS
SHIFTING INTO SOUTHERN CA. TROUGHING OVER CA WELL INTO NEXT WEEK
WILL MEAN A FAIRLY STABLE FORECAST BETWEEN NOW AND THEN. OFFSHORE
FLOW AT THE SURFACE AND DEEPENING OF THE MARINE LAYER WILL KEEP
LOW STRATUS/FOG ALONG THE COASTS AND COASTAL VALLEYS DURING THE
EVENINGS AND MORNINGS/EARLY AFTERNOONS WELL INTO NEXT WEEK.
THIS, ALONG WITH INCREASING CLOUDS, WILL RESULT IN BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES AND VERY SLIGHT, GRADUAL COOLING THROUGH SUNDAY OR
MONDAY. DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO STABILIZE AFTER THAT
BUT CONTINUE TO RUN BELOW CLIMATOLOGICAL NORMS. HIGHS WILL LARGELY
RUN IN THE 70S, WITH LOCATIONS FURTHER INLAND REACHING THE 80S,
AND COASTAL LOCATIONS GENERALLY WARMING INTO THE MID- TO
UPPER-60S.
AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS, WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE
THIS EVENING, PEAKING ON SATURDAY. A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT
FOR THE ANTELOPE VALLEY AND WESTERN ANTELOPE FOOTHILLS THROUGH 5
AM PDT SUNDAY FOR GUSTS TO AROUND 50 MPH. THE NBM 24-HOUR MAX WIND
GUST FOR THESE TWO REGIONS FOR THE REST OF TODAY AND SATURDAY IS
UP TO 50 MPH WITH A MUCH BROADER AREA OF MAX GUSTS TO 40 MPH.
ADDITIONAL WIND ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE SANTA BARBARA SW
COAST AND THE SANTA YNEZ WESTERN RANGE FOR SUNDOWNER WINDS 5 PM
PDT THIS EVENING THROUGH 3 AM PDT TOMORROW AND AGAIN SATURDAY
NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING. OFFSHORE NORTHWEST WINDS WINDS WILL
REACH 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. THE SANTA BARBARA BEACHES
WILL EXPERIENCE BREEZY ONSHORE WINDS DURING THESE SAME TIMEFRAMES,
WITH GUSTS RANGING 25 TO 35 MPH.
A SECONDARY LOW WILL DROP INTO NORTHERN CA EARLY MONDAY AND
CONTINUE ROTATING SOUTHWARD BEFORE LIFTING NORTHEASTWARD INTO
NEVADA EARLY TUESDAY. MORE ON THAT BELOW.
LONG TERM (TUE-FRI)
26/1152 AM.
ANOTHER LOW DROPPING INTO NORTHERN CA EARLY MONDAY WILL CONTINUE
SOUTHWARD AND EVENTUALLY LIFT NORTHEASTWARD INTO NEVADA EARLY
TUESDAY. PERSISTENT TROUGHING OVER CA WILL MEAN A CONTINUATION OF
ONSHORE FLOW AND THE RESULTANT DAILY LOW STRATUS AND
FOG. STILL NOT FORECASTING ANY PRECIPITATION, ALTHOUGH SOME VERY
LIGHT MIST OR DRIZZLE FALLING OUT OF THE STRATUS DECK CANNOT BE
RULED OUT. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN VERY STABLE AND RUN UP TO 10
DEGREES BELOW CLIMATOLOGICAL NORMS THROUGHOUT NEXT WEEK BUT WILL
TREND TOWARD NORMAL HEADING INTO LATE NEXT WEEKEND. AT THIS POINT,
FLOW ALOFT WILL TURN ZONAL BEFORE AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
IN OVER THE SOUTHWEST DURING THE WEEKEND.
AVIATION
26/1746Z.
AT 1630Z AT KLAX, THE MARINE LAYER WAS 2600 FT DEEP. THE TOP OF
THE INVERSION WAS AT 3500 FEET WITH A TEMPERATURE OF 18 C.
HIGH CONFIDENCE IN VFR TAFS FOR DESERT AIRFIELDS (KPMD & KWJF).
MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN THE REMAINDER OF THE TAFS. TIMING OF
FLIGHT CAT CHANGES COULD BE OFF +/- 2 HOURS AND CIG HEIGHTS
+/- 300 FT.
KLAX...MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN TAF. ARRIVAL OF MVFR CIGS AROUND
012 EXPECTED TO OCCUR 27/02Z (+/- 2 HOURS). 15% CHANCE CIGS
INITIALLY ARRIVE AT IFR 008. CIGS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY LIFT
BREAKING 2000 FT THRESHOLD SOMETIME BETWEEN 16/13Z-16Z.
25% CHANCE EAST WIND COMPONENT REACHES 7-8 KTS 16/12Z-16Z.
KBUR...MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN TAF. ARRIVAL OF IFR CIGS AROUND
008 SHOULD BE ACCURATE WITHIN +/- 2 HOURS OF CURRENT FORECAST.
CIGS SHOULD LIFT TO MVFR 010-015 AROUND 13Z. NO WIND ISSUES
EXPECTED.
MARINE
26/936 AM.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY (SCA) LEVEL WIND GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO
EXPAND INTO THE INNER WATERS FOCUSED ACROSS THE WESTERN AND
SOUTHERN SANTA BARBARA CHANNEL AND NORTH OF POINT SAL TODAY,
PEAKING SATURDAY BEFORE GRADUALLY DIMINISHING THROUGH MONDAY.
LOCAL GUSTS MAY APPROACH 35 KT NEAR PT WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF
GALE CONDITIONS ACROSS THE CENTRAL PART OF THE SANTA BARBARA
CHANNEL SATURDAY EVENING. THERE IS A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SCA
CONDITIONS EXPANDING INTO THE SOUTHERN INNER WATERS ALONG AND
SOUTH OF POINT MUGU/MALIBU SATURDAY AFTERNOON TO EVENING.
SEAS WILL NEAR 10 FT SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY
MORNING FOCUSED ACROSS THE OUTER WATERS. BEYOND, CONDITIONS LOOK
TO QUIET DOWN A BIT THROUGH MID NEXT WEEK.
LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 3
AM PDT SATURDAY FOR ZONES 349-351. (SEE LAXNPWLOX).
WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM SATURDAY TO 3 AM PDT SUNDAY
FOR ZONES 349-351. (SEE LAXNPWLOX).
WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT SUNDAY FOR
ZONES 381-383. (SEE LAXNPWLOX).
PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM PDT SUNDAY FOR ZONE
645. (SEE LAXMWWLOX).
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM PDT SATURDAY FOR
ZONE 650. (SEE LAXMWWLOX).
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM SATURDAY TO 3 AM
PDT SUNDAY FOR ZONE 650. (SEE LAXMWWLOX).
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM PDT MONDAY FOR
ZONES 670-673-676. (SEE LAXMWWLOX).
PUBLIC...CROPP
AVIATION...BLACK
MARINE...MUNROE
SYNOPSIS...CROPP
WEATHER.GOV/LOSANGELES
EXPERIMENTAL GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK AT:
HTTPS://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ERH/GHWO?WFO=LOX
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