840
FXUS66 KLOX 302032
AFDLOX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
132 PM PDT SUN AUG 30 2026
SYNOPSIS
30/131 PM.
COOLER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY WITH SOME
AREAS OF MORNING LOW CLOUDS AND FOG. A VERY SLOW WARMING TREND IS
EXPECTED LATER IN THE WEEK.
SHORT TERM (SUN-WED)
30/111 PM.
COOLER WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST MID WEEK AS
TROUGHING REPLACES THE STRONG RIDGE ALONG THE WEST COAST ALONG
WITH MODERATE ONSHORE FLOW. HUMIDITIES WILL BE RETURNING TO NORMAL
AS WELL AS PW'S DROP WAY DOWN TO AROUND 0.5". HIGHS WILL BE MORE
INLINE WITH TYPICAL LATE SUMMER CONDITIONS, IF NOT SLIGHTLY BELOW
NORMAL. MAY HAVE SOME COASTAL NIGHT AND MORNING LOW CLOUDS AND
FOG BUT THOSE SHOULD CLEAR BY LATE MORNING. ALSO SOME LOW GRADE
(SUB-ADVISORY LEVEL) SUNDOWNER WINDS THE NEXT FEW EVENINGS.
LONG TERM (THU-SUN)
30/127 PM.
OVERALL A VERY QUIET 4-7 PERIOD ENDING NEXT SATURDAY WITH
TEMPERATURES IN MOST AREAS EITHER NEAR OR SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL.
MAYBE A VERY MINOR (1-2 DEGREE) WARMING TREND THU THROUGH SAT BUT
IN GENERAL MUCH IMPROVED FROM THE LAST WEEK.
STILL SOME MAJOR CONCERNS FOR NEXT WEEK WITH A FAIR AMOUNT OF
ENSEMBLE AND DETERMINISTIC SOLUTIONS INDICATING THE POTENTIAL FOR
A TROPICAL SYSTEM TO MOVE UP THE COAST FROM BAJA INTO SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA. BY NEXT SUNDAY THE AVERAGE OF ALL THE ENSEMBLE MEMBER
PW'S IS 1.5" WITH SEVERAL INDIVIDUAL MEMBERS OVER 2". STILL A LOT
OF TIME FOR ADJUSTMENTS TO THE TRACK BUT CERTAINLY THERE IS THE
POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN, STRONG SOUTH SWELLS, AND OVERALL
TROPICAL CONDITIONS BY NEXT SUNDAY.
AVIATION
30/1819Z.
AT 1748Z AT KLAX, THE MARINE LAYER WAS 1800 FEET DEEP WITH A WEAK
INVERSION UP TO 2600 FEET WITH A TEMPERATURE OF 23 DEGREES C.
FAIR CONFIDENCE IN KSBP AND KSMX TAFS, WITH A 20% CHANCE FOR
VLIFR CONDS FROM 10Z-16Z MON.
MODERATE TO HIGH CONFIDENCE IN KSMO, KLAX, AND KLGB. THERE IS A
40% CHANCE OF CONDS REMAINING VFR THROUGH THE PERIOD.
HIGH CONFIDENCE IN VFR TAFS AT REMAINING SITES. LESS THAN 10%
CHANCE FOR IFR CONDS FOR KOXR AND KCMA 13Z-17Z MON.
KLAX...HIGH CONFIDENCE IN TAF THROUGH 09Z MON, THEN MODERATE
CONFIDENCE. THERE IS A 40% CHANCE OF CONDS REMAINING VFR THROUGH
THE PERIOD. OTHERWISE, BKN008-012 CIGS COULD ARRIVE AS EARLY AS
09Z MON. GOOD CONFIDENCE IN ANY EAST WIND COMPONENT REMAINING
BELOW 7 KT.
KBUR...HIGH CONFIDENCE IN TAF.
MARINE
30/116 PM.
HIGH CONFIDENCE IN SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY (SCA) NORTHWEST WINDS
(20-30 KNOTS) AND STEEP, CHOPPY SEAS FOR THE OUTER WATERS THROUGH
LATE TONIGHT. THESE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS WILL REACH INTO THE
NEARSHORE WATERS ALONG THE CENTRAL COAST AND INTO THE SANTA
BARBARA CHANNEL TODAY, ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON/EVENING
HOURS. LOCAL WIND GUSTS MAY APPROACH 35 KNOTS NEAR POINT
CONCEPTION THROUGH TONIGHT. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPROVE
MONDAY WITH ONLY LOCAL SCA LEVEL WIND GUSTS NEAR POINT CONCEPTION
MONDAY AND TUESDAY. CHANCES FOR MORE WIDESPREAD SCA WINDS INCREASE
WEDNESDAY INTO THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.
LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON
FOR ZONES 354-362-366. (SEE LAXCFWLOX).
PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM PDT MONDAY FOR
ZONES 645-650-670-673-676. (SEE LAXMWWLOX).
PUBLIC...MW
AVIATION...LUND
MARINE...LEWIS/KL
SYNOPSIS...MW
WEATHER.GOV/LOSANGELES
EXPERIMENTAL GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK AT:
HTTPS://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ERH/GHWO?WFO=LOX
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