234  
FNUS73 KLSX 120328  
FWSLSX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR IDOT BRUSH PILE...ADAMS COUNTY EMA  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAINT LOUIS MO  
1028 PM CDT FRI JUL 11 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 2300 CDT ON JULY 11.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
DECAYING THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX IS MOVING SOUTHWARD OVER THE SITE,  
WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED THROUGH APPROXIMATELY  
11:30PM. MODERATE TO LIGHT RAIN WITH OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING STRIKES  
IS THEN EXPECTED THROUGH APPROXIMATELY 1AM. A COLD FRONT PASSING  
OVER THE SITE WILL CAUSE WINDS TO GRADUALLY BECOME NORTHWESTERLY  
THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS, WITH WINDS OCCASIONALLY BEING ERRATIC  
EARLIER IN THE NIGHT AS THUNDERSTORMS DEPART THE SITE. RAIN  
CHANCES WILL DECREASE THROUGH THE MID TO LATE MORNING WITH SKIES  
BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY DURING THE DAY SATURDAY.  
 
   
REST OF TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS WITH  
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.  
CWR.................100 PERCENT DECREASING TO 20 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...70 PERCENT DECREASING TO 20 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........71 AT FORECAST START...MIN 71.  
RH..................100 PERCENT AT FORECAST START...MAX 100  
PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WINDS SOUTH-SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 5 MPH AT FORECAST  
START. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT. ADJUSTMENT FACTOR OF  
0.4 USED.  
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH-SOUTHWEST AT 5 MPH AT FORECAST  
START. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL AT FORECAST START...OTHERWISE MIN  
400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 8  
TO 13 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /1020 M/S-M/ AT FORECAST START. MIN...POOR  
/490 M/S-M/.  
 
TIME (CDT) 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A  
SKY (%).........67 81 88 93 89 83 89 92 88 83 89 81  
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
CWR.............100 80 50 50 30 30 20 20 20 20 20 20  
CHC OF THDR (%).M M M M M M M M M M M M  
TEMP............71 72 73 73 73 72 72 72 72 73 75 76  
RH..............100 90 90 87 87 93 93 90 93 93 87 85  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW S S S SW SW W W W NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 7 6 6 6 6 6 5 6 7 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 15 15 15 15 13 12 11 11 13 13 13  
EYE LVL WND DIR.SW S S S SW SW W W W NW NW NW  
EYE LVL WND SPD.2 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 3 3 3 3  
EYE LVL WND GST.6 7 7 7 7 6 6 5 5 6 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 1.0 1.4 1.7 1.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W S S S S SW SW W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 13 13 9 8 9 9 10 12 12 12 10  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..7 6 5 4 3 4 4 6 10 14 17 17  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING AND EARLY  
AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...MISSING.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 85.  
RH..................MIN 63 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH OR LESS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 3600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 8  
TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (960 M/S-M) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO MARGINAL MAX (5120 M/S-M) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 

 
FORECASTER...ELMORE  
REQUESTED BY...REMI BOLTON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2517854.0/LSX  
.DELDT 07/11/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab MO Page
The Nexlab IL Page Main Text Page