695
FNUS73 KLSX 091021
FWSLSX
SPOT FORECAST FOR LITTLE LOST CREEK CA COMP 3 STAND 17...MISSOURI DEPARTMENT OF CONSERVATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAINT LOUIS MO
521 AM CDT THU OCT 9 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CDT ON OCTOBER 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
DRY CONDITIONS AND NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TODAY
WITH HIGHS IN THE LOW 70S, SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY. WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT, LESS THAN 5 MPH, WHICH MAY ALSO RESULT
IN A VARIABLE WIND SPEED AT TIMES, PARTICULARLY DURING THE
AFTERNOON. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO BE
BETWEEN 35-40%. THERE IS A 40% CHANCE THAT RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES WILL DROP BELOW 35%, AND A 20% CHANCE THEY WILL DROP
BELOW 30%.
THE ATMOSPHERE WILL MIX PAST 1700 FEET BETWEEN 11 AM AND NOON
TODAY, MIXING AS HIGH AS 3500-4700 FT BY 3-4 PM. HOWEVER, WINDS
WITHIN THIS LAYER ARE EXPECTED TO BE LESS THAN 10 MPH, RESULTING
IN POOR SMOKE DISPERSION/VENTILATION RATES.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........51 AT IGNITION...MAX 73.
RH..................80 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 38 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE, USING AN ADJUSTMENT FACTOR OF 0.3.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 3 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE MAX 5000 FT
AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 8 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /630 M/S-M/ AT IGNITION. MAX...POOR /3900
M/S-M/.
TIME (CDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM 7 PM
SKY (%).........0 2 2 2 1 4
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............51 63 70 73 71 63
RH..............80 54 44 38 39 52
20 FT WIND......E 3 SE 3 SE 4 SE 4 E 4 E 4
20 FT WIND GUST.8 9 10 9 9 7
EYE LEVEL WIND..E 1 SE 1 SE 2 SE 2 E 2 E 2
EYE LVL WND GST.4 4 5 4 4 3
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 1.9 4.7 5.0 4.7 0.3
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 8 SE 7 E 6 E 6 E 6 E 7
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 11 24 25 24 2
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
FORECASTER...DELIA
REQUESTED BY...JEFF BAKAMEYER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2523180.0/LSX
.DELDT 10/09/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page