897  
FNUS73 KLSX 201225  
FWSLSX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SHORT BEND RXB...MISSOURI DEPT OF CONSERVATION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAINT LOUIS MO  
625 AM CST TUE JAN 20 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CST ON JANUARY 20.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE JUST ABOVE NORMAL TODAY WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY VALUES AROUND 30 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHTS WILL CLIMB ABOVE  
1700 FEET UNTIL BETWEEN 11 AM AND NOON, WITH THE MAXIMUM MIXING HEIGHTS  
AROUND 2600 FEET THIS AFTERNOON RESULTING IN FAIR SMOKE DISPERSAL.  
WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE SOUTH DURING THE DAY TODAY AT 5 TO 8 MPH  
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  
 
DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH TEMPERATURES STAYING NEAR  
OR JUST ABOVE NORMAL. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE SITE ON WEDNESDAY  
MORNING CAUSING WINDS TO SHIFT OUT OF THE WEST AND BECOMING GUSTY.  
MIXING HEIGHTS ARE EXPECTED TO CLIMB TO AROUND TO 3000 FEET WITH GOOD  
SMOKE DISPERSION IN THE AFTERNOON WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES  
AROUND 40 PERCENT.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).  
TEMPERATURE.........12 AT IGNITION...MAX 41.  
RH..................58 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 29 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WINDS AROUND 3 MPH WITH AN ADJUSTMENT FACTOR OF 0.3  
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 4 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE  
LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 17 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE MAX 2600 FT  
AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 22 MPH  
LATE IN THE MORNING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /570 M/S-M/ AT IGNITION. MAX...FAIR /7760  
M/S-M/.  
 
TIME (CST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM  
SKY (%).........54 39 24 14 8 5 3 4 5 5 7 10  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............12 18 24 29 35 38 40 41 40 38 34 33  
RH..............58 51 41 39 32 29 30 30 31 32 36 36  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..4 5 6 7 8 8 8 8 8 7 8 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 12 13 15 16 16 17 17 17 17 17 19  
EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
EYE LVL WND SPD.2 2 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 3 4 4  
EYE LVL WND GST.4 6 6 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.7 1.2 1.7 2.0 2.3 2.5 2.6 2.0 0.7 0.5 0.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S SW S SW S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 13 17 21 21 22 22 22 21 16 17 20  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 8 18 30 36 44 47 49 36 9 8 10  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR FR FR FR PR PR PR PR  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 27.  
RH..................MAX 89 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WINDS AROUND 3 MPH WITH AN ADJUSTMENT FACTOR OF 0.3  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 22  
MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17 TO 22 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1240 M/S-M).  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 47.  
RH..................MIN 41 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WINDS AROUND 2 MPH WITH AN ADJUSTMENT FACTOR OF 0.3  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 17  
MPH IN THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON BECOMING  
LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 3000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 14 TO 22 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1850 M/S-M) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD MAX (8590 M/S-M) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 

 
FORECASTER...BRITT  
REQUESTED BY...MATTHEW PETER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2600495.0/LSX  
.DELDT 01/20/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
 
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