535  
FNUS73 KLSX 111346  
FWSLSX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR TAUM SAUK MOUNTAIN...MISSOURI STATE PARKS - DNR  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAINT LOUIS MO  
746 AM CST WED FEB 11 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CST ON FEBRUARY 11.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS REMAIN LIKELY TODAY, AND MAY SHIFT SLIGHTLY  
TO THE NORTHEAST DURING THE AFTERNOON. HOWEVER, WITH PREVAILING WINDS  
THAT ARE SO LIGHT, LOCAL TERRAIN INFLUENCES WILL LIKELY LEAD TO  
CONSIDERABLE VARIABILITY IN THE WIND DIRECTION THROUGHOUT THE DAY.  
WE ALSO EXPECT RELATIVELY SHALLOW MIXING HEIGHTS, BUT HIGHER  
ELEVATIONS OF THE BURN MAY BE EXPOSED TO SLIGHTLY HIGHER GUST  
SPEEDS THAT MAY HELP A BIT WITH VENTILATION. OTHERWISE, THE  
REMAINDER OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST IS ON TRACK, WITH SEASONABLY  
MILD TEMPERATURES AND LOW AFTERNOON HUMIDITY EXPECTED TODAY.  
HUMIDITY RECOVERY IS EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY GOOD OVERNIGHT,  
ALTHOUGH SOME HIGHER ELEVATIONS MAY REMAIN JUST SLIGHTLY DRIER  
THAN THE VALLEY BOTTOMS DUE TO COOL AIR DRAINAGE. SIMILAR  
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TOMORROW, BUT WITH SLIGHTLY INCREASED  
SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS AND SLIGHTLY HIGHER MINIMUM HUMIDITY.  
 
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........32 AT IGNITION...MAX 51.  
RH..................78 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 27 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 2 TO 3 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 5  
MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING, NORTHEAST 0 TO 2 MPH WITH  
A SIGNIFICANT LOCAL TERRAIN INFLUENCE.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 4 TO 6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 15  
MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING, NORTHEAST 1 TO 4 MPH  
WITH A SIGNIFICANT LOCAL TERRAIN INFLUENCE.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT  
AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE MAX 2300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 8 TO 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /1240 M/S-M/ AT IGNITION. MAX...POOR /3390 M/S-M/.  
 
TIME (CST) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM 8 PM  
SKY (%).........28 20 14 7 4 9 10  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............32 38 46 49 49 44 41  
RH..............78 57 38 33 31 41 48  
20 FT WIND......N 7 N 5 N 5 N 4 N 4 N 3 NE 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.17 15 12 11 10 7 5  
EYE LEVEL WIND..N 3 N 2 N 2 N 2 N 2 N 1 NE 1  
EYE LVL WND GST.8 7 6 5 5 3 2  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 1.0 1.5 2.2 1.8 0.1 0.2  
TRANSPORT WIND..N 15 N 14 N 12 N 12 N 10 N 7 N 6  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..8 12 15 22 16 0 0  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 30.  
RH..................MAX 72 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST  
AROUND 7 MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0 M/S-M).  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT).  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 46.  
RH..................MIN 42 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 1 TO 3 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 3 TO 6 MPH.  
LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 1500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 9 TO 10 MPH  
LATE IN THE MORNING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0 M/S-M).  
 

 
FORECASTER...19  
REQUESTED BY...HARLEE SCHERRER NATURAL RESOURCE ECOLOGIST  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2602355.1/LSX  
.DELDT 02/11/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab MO Page
The Nexlab IL Page Main Text Page