747  
FNUS73 KLSX 281110  
FWSLSX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BUNKER BOUNDS RX...FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAINT LOUIS MO  
510 AM CST SAT FEB 28 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CST ON FEBRUARY 28.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
TODAY'S WIND AND HUMIDITY FORECAST WILL BE CHALLENGING, AS A LOW  
PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CAUSE WINDS TO SHIFT CONSTANTLY  
THROUGHOUT THE BURN PERIOD. WINDS WILL LIKELY BEGIN THE BURN PERIOD OUT OF  
THE SOUTHEAST, THEN GRADUALLY SHIFT TO THE SOUTH, AND THEN SOUTHWEST BY  
MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. WHILE SPEEDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY LIGHT,  
SOME STRONGER GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE, PARTICULARLY IN THE AFTERNOON  
WHEN THE SOUTHWESTERLIES ARRIVE. HUMIDITY IS ALSO EXPECTED TO BE  
RELATIVELY LOW, BUT NOT QUITE AS LOW AS YESTERDAY. IN SPITE OF THE  
LINGERING DRY AIR, A FEW VERY LIGHT SHOWERS OR SPRINKLES MAY REACH  
THE SURFACE DURING THE DAY, BUT LIKELY NOT ENOUGH TO ACCUMULATE. IF  
RAIN DOES REACH THE SURFACE, HUMIDITY IS LIKELY TO REMAIN SLIGHTLY  
HIGHER THAN THE FORECAST BELOW. PERSISTENT CLOUD COVER  
MAY ALSO LIMIT MIXING AND INHIBIT SMOKE DISPERSION, WHICH WILL  
LIKELY BE CHALLENGING ALREADY DUE TO THE SHIFTING WINDS.  
 
THIS EVENING, A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE AREA AND SWITCH  
WINDS TO THE NORTH. WINDS WILL REMAIN NORTHERLY THROUGH THE NIGHT  
AND GRADUALLY BECOME NORTHEASTERLY TOMORROW MORNING. MUCH COOLER  
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TOMORROW, BUT HUMIDITY WILL REMAIN  
RELATIVELY LOW UNTIL WIDESPREAD LIGHT RAIN AND POSSIBLY SOME SNOW  
ARRIVE OVERNIGHT TOMORROW.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................3 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...3 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........52 AT IGNITION...MAX 71.  
RH..................45 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 29 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....HIGHLY VARIABLE WIND DIRECTION THROUGH THE DAY.  
SOUTHEAST 1 TO 3 MPH AT IGNITION, GRADUALLY SHIFTING TO  
SOUTH, THEN SOUTHWEST BY 1 PM. MAXIMUM SPEEDS  
2 TO 4 MPH SUSTAINED WITH GUSTS TO 8 MPH BETWEEN 1 AND 5 PM.  
WIND (20 FT)........HIGHLY VARIABLE WIND DIRECTION THROUGH THE DAY.  
SOUTHEAST 4 TO 8 MPH AT IGNITION, GRADUALLY SHIFTING TO  
SOUTH, THEN SOUTHWEST BY 1 PM. MAXIMUM SPEEDS  
5 TO 9 MPH SUSTAINED WITH GUSTS TO 18 MPH BETWEEN 1 AND 5 PM.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE MAX 4400 FT  
AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /1040 M/S-M/ AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD  
/11850 M/S-M/.  
 
TIME (CST) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM 7 PM  
SKY (%).........50 43 47 50 69 58  
WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RAIN RAIN RAIN NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 10  
TEMP............52 62 68 71 68 63  
RH..............45 33 30 29 34 42  
20 FT WIND......E 7 SE 6 S 6 S 6 S 4 S 4  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 11 14 11 11 9  
EYE LEVEL WIND..E 3 SE 3 S 3 S 3 S 2 S 2  
EYE LVL WND GST.7 5 6 5 5 4  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 1.8 3.0 4.4 1.3 0.2  
TRANSPORT WIND..E 13 S 12 S 15 SW 20 SW 10 S 8  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..7 18 39 75 12 2  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR GOOD POOR POOR  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
CWR.................3 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...12 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 36.  
RH..................MAX 67 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 1 TO 2 MPH SWITCHING TO NORTH 1 TO 3 MPH AFTER 10 PM.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH SWITCHING TO NORTH 4 TO 8 MPH AFTER 10 PM.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 15  
TO 17 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (140 M/S-M).  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................18 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 51.  
RH..................MIN 36 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST 2 TO 4 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST 5 TO 9 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 17 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 2300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 14 TO 20 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1980 M/S-M) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO MARGINAL MAX (4670 M/S-M) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
 
FORECASTER...19  
REQUESTED BY...CHAD RANDOLPH  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2604286.0/LSX  
.DELDT 02/28/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
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