114  
FNUS73 KLSX 250941  
FWSLSX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR HERMANS HILLTOP BURN UNIT...DNR  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAINT LOUIS MO  
441 AM CDT WED MAR 25 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MARCH 25.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
WELL ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED  
TODAY WITH SOME CLOUDS AND LIGHT SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS. FROM  
IGNITION TIME INTO THE AFTERNOON, RH WILL GENERALLY BE BETWEEN  
30 AND 45 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHTS WILL ALSO BE RISING FROM AROUND  
1250 FT AGL AT IGNITION TO BETWEEN 3000 AND 5000 FT AGL THIS  
AFTERNOON, QUICKLY IMPROVING SMOKE DISPERSAL TO GOOD DESPITE THE  
LIGHT WIND. A TEMPERATURE INVERSION WILL DEVELOP AROUND SUNSET,  
OR 6 TO 7 PM THIS EVENING, ABRUPTLY DEGRADING SMOKE DISPERSAL.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).  
CWR.................1 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...3 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........47 AT IGNITION...MAX 79.  
RH..................56 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 35 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 2 MPH. AN ADJUSTMENT FACTOR OF  
0.3 IS USED.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE MAX 4700 FT  
AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 18 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /500 M/S-M/ AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD /11160  
M/S-M/.  
 
TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM  
SKY (%).........35 29 26 26 30 34 38 40 42 42 41 37  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10  
TEMP............47 53 60 66 70 74 76 79 79 79 79 76  
RH..............56 52 44 42 44 38 37 35 36 38 39 46  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 4 4 5 5 5 6 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 9 10 12 12 13 14 14 15 14 14 13  
EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW S S  
EYE LVL WND SPD.1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 2  
EYE LVL WND GST.4 4 5 6 6 6 6 6 7 6 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.6 1.2 1.9 2.7 3.6 4.3 4.6 4.7 4.4 1.6 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 13 12 12 14 16 16 17 18 16 14  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 5 13 19 27 44 60 65 71 71 22 6  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR FR FR GD GD GD PR PR  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).  
CWR.................3 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...5 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 64.  
RH..................MAX 75 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 2 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 6 MPH  
OVERNIGHT. AN ADJUSTMENT FACTOR OF 0.3 IS  
USED.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 21 MPH  
OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST  
AROUND 17 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (850 M/S-M).  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
CWR.................2 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...7 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 91.  
RH..................MIN 35 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 2 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 6 MPH.  
AN ADJUSTMENT FACTOR OF 0.3 IS USED.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
21 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 5200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 22 MPH INCREASING TO 24 TO 31  
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1790 M/S-M) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT MAX (15370 M/S-M) IN  
THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO GOOD (14490 M/S-M)  
EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO EXCELLENT  
MAX (22150 M/S-M) IN THE AFTERNOON LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
 
FORECASTER...PFAHLER  
REQUESTED BY...ERIK OTTO  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2607665.0/LSX  
.DELDT 03/25/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
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