082
FNUS73 KLSX 101101
FWSLSX
SPOT FORECAST FOR SWIFT WATER RESCUE...MO REGION E HOMELAND SECURITY RESPONSE TEAM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAINT LOUIS MO
601 AM CDT FRI JUL 10 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 CDT ON JULY 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE INTERMITTENT
HEAVY RAIN ALONG A LINE RUNNING FROM WEST-NORTHWEST TO EAST-
SOUTHEAST, DIRECTLY THROUGH PILOT KNOB, THROUGH ROUGHLY 8 AM.
THIS HEAVY RAIN WILL NOT BE AS CONTINUOUS AS IT WAS OVERNIGHT,
AND THIS MAY SLOW THE WATER RISES IN SMALLER STREAMS AND DITCHES,
BUT THE THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING WILL CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THIS
PERIOD. ADDITIONAL RAIN AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE PRIOR TO 9 AM, BUT THIS WILL BE SPORADIC. WE DO EXPECT
THAT STORMS WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH BY ROUGHLY 9 AM, AND WE SHOULD
SEE WATER START TO RECEDE IN CREEKS AND STREAMS BY THIS TIME.
HOWEVER, WATER IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO RISE IN LARGER RIVERS
THROUGHOUT THE DAY, PARTICULARLY THE MAIN STEM OF THE BLACK RIVER.
ASIDE FROM THE THREAT OF FLOODING, OCCASIONAL WIND GUSTS TO 40-50
MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THUNDERSTORMS, BUT THIS WILL NOT BE
COMMON. GIVEN THAT THE GROUND IS VERY SATURATED, THIS MAY
INCREASE THE THREAT OF OCCASIONAL DOWNED TREES.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........71 AT FORECAST START...MAX 89.
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 6 TO 7 MPH IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING LIGHT
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
FORECASTER...19
REQUESTED BY...BROCK AUSTIN - CAPTAIN
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 2617149.0/LSX
.DELDT 07/10/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
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