040  
FNUS71 KLWX 211932  
FWSLWX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BULLRUN RX FIRE...NATURE WORKS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC  
232 PM EST SAT DEC 21 2024  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1500 EST ON DECEMBER 21.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
GUSTY AND ERRATIC NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON.  
THE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE OVERNIGHT INTO SUNDAY AS HIGH  
PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE AREA. MINIMUM RH WILL BE IN THE 30S  
BOTH TODAY AND SUNDAY WITH RELATIVELY HIGH MIXING DEPTHS.  
SOME SCATTERED FLURRIES ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON, BUT  
OTHERWISE NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED. MORE SUN IS EXPECTED  
ON SUNDAY.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SCATTERED  
FLURRIES.  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35.  
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 17 TO 21 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 32 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 23 TO 25 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (85700 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (EST) 3 PM 5 PM  
SKY (%).........63 58  
WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD  
WEATHER TYPE....SNSHWR SNSHWR  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............10 10  
TEMP............34 31  
RH..............38 43  
20 FT WIND......NW 21 NW 17  
20 FT WIND GUST.32 26  
MIX HGT (FT)....6500 4300  
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 25 NW 23  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..142 86  
VENTRATE CAT....VYGD GOOD  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SCATTERED  
FLURRIES EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 20.  
MAX HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 14 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO 8 TO 14  
MPH OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (42700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (3000 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
 
TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........56 56 61 63 59 47  
WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD  
WEATHER TYPE....SNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............10 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............30 28 26 25 25 24  
RH..............46 50 55 55 55 57  
20 FT WIND......NW 15 NW 10 N 8 NW 8 NW 8 N 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.23 18 17 15 14 15  
MIX HGT (FT)....2500 1000 1700 800 700 1500  
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 20 NW 17 N 17 NW 10 NW 10 NW 14  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..43 15 25 7 7 18  
VENTRATE CAT....FAIR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 31.  
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH  
AROUND 7 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (6000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (56900 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY (%).........41 18 9 8  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0  
TEMP............22 24 29 31  
RH..............59 54 42 36  
20 FT WIND......N 8G15 N 9G16 N 9G16 N 7G12  
MIX HGT (FT)....700 2700 4100 3800  
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 12 NW 16 NW 15 NW 10  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..7 38 53 35  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR FAIR POOR  
 

 
FORECASTER...SNYDER  
REQUESTED BY...JAMES REMUZZI  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2428848.0/LWX  
.DELDT 12/21/24  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JAMES@NATUREWORKSLLC.NET  
 
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