411  
FXUS61 KLWX 020135  
AFDLWX  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC  
935 PM EDT TUE APR 1 2025  
   
SYNOPSIS
 
 
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD TO THE NORTH NEAR NEW ENGLAND THROUGH  
WEDNESDAY AS DEEP LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS OVER THE PLAINS AND  
MOVES INTO CANADA. A WARM FRONT AHEAD OF THE LOW WILL LIFT  
THROUGH THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO  
THE AREA THURSDAY, THEN MEANDER NEARBY THROUGH SATURDAY BEFORE  
ANOTHER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LIFTS BY SUNDAY.  
 

 
   
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
 
 
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD TO OUR NORTH ACROSS QUEBEC  
TONIGHT. WINDS WILL GO LIGHT THIS EVENING, BEFORE EVENTUALLY  
TURNING OUT OF THE EAST LATER IN THE NIGHT. SKIES ARE CLEAR AT  
THE MOMENT, BUT HIGH CLOUDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE DURING THE  
SECOND HALF OF THE NIGHT. DESPITE THE INCREASE IN CLOUDS, DRY  
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT. LOW  
TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE 30S FOR MOST, WITH LOWER 40S IN DC  
AND BALTIMORE, AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND  
SOUTHERN MARYLAND.  
 

 
   
SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/
 
 
WINDS TURN FROM THE SOUTHEAST WED AS HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS  
OFFSHORE. WINDS WILL GUST TO AROUND 25 MPH WED, BUT STRONGER AT  
GARRETT COUNTY WHERE IT WILL BE A DOWNSLOPE WINDS. A FEW SHOWERS  
WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS WESTERN MD, BUT THE BETTER CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS/T-STORMS AREAWIDE WILL COME THU NIGHT AS FRONT SAGS  
INTO THE AREA AND INTERCEPTS AN INCREASINGLY MOIST AIR MASS.  
 

 
   
LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
 
 
UNSETTLED WEATHER FOR MUCH OF THE LONG TERM WITH A FRONT IN THE  
VICINITY. ON FRIDAY, A COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY DRIFT TO THE  
SOUTH BEFORE STALLING TO THE SOUTH ON SATURDAY AS A STATIONARY  
FRONT. ON SUNDAY, THE FRONT WILL COME BACK NORTH AS A WARM  
FRONT. FINALLY, LATER SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT, THE FRONT MOVES  
THROUGH AS A COLD FRONT AND HAS NO SIGNS OF RETREATING BACK. IN  
TURN, THE FRONT MEANDERING NEARBY WILL RESULT IN PRECIPITATION  
CHANCES DAILY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON FRONTAL  
POSITIONING, SO A GRADIENT IN TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE FA IS  
POSSIBLE.  
 
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN THEREAFTER DRYING THINGS OUT. NOTABLY COOLER  
TO COLD MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH FROST/FREEZE RISKS EACH NIGHT.  
 

 
   
AVIATION /02Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
 
 
GUSTY NW WINDS DIMINISH TONIGHT AND BECOME SE UP TO 20 KT WED.  
CDFNT WILL CROSS THE TERMINALS THU EVENING WITH SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AND WINDS SHIFTING TO THE WEST.  
 
WITH THE FRONT NEARBY FRIDAY AND SATURDAY, SUB-VFR CONDITIONS ARE  
POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF RAIN. WINDS WILL BE SW'LY FRIDAY MORNING BEFORE  
BECOMING NW'LY AFTER FROPA. WINDS BECOME S'LY AGAIN SATURDAY AS THE  
FRONT LIFTS NORTH.  
 

 
   
MARINE
 
 
WINDS WILL DECREASE THIS EVENING, THEN PICK UP OUT OF THE EAST  
LATER TONIGHT. THE START TIME OF SCAS HAVE BEEN MOVED UP TO 1 AM  
FOR MUCH OF THE BAY. SCA CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER ALL  
WATERS TOMORROW, WITH WINDS TURNING OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST. A  
FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE WATERS THU NIGHT WITH WINDS SHIFTING  
TO A WESTERLY DIRECTION.  
 
WINDS LIKELY REMAIN BELOW SCA CRITERIA FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. WINDS  
WILL NEAR SCA CRITERIA IN THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE WATERS  
SATURDAY AFTERNOON.  
 

 
   
LWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
DC...NONE.  
MD...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 1 AM TO 6 PM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR  
MDZ008.  
VA...NONE.  
WV...NONE.  
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 1 AM TO 6 PM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR  
ANZ530>533-538>541.  
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 8 AM TO 6 PM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR  
ANZ534>537-542-543.  
 

 
 

 
 
SYNOPSIS...LFR  
NEAR TERM...KJP  
SHORT TERM...LFR  
LONG TERM...CPB  
AVIATION...LFR/CPB  
MARINE...LFR/CPB  
 
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