368  
FNUS71 KLWX 190614  
FWSLWX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR MARYLAND 5-STAR HORSE EVENT...MDEM  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC  
214 AM EDT SUN OCT 19 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0804 EDT ON OCTOBER 19.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE THIS MORNING AS HIGH PRESSURE PUSHES  
OFFSHORE. MEANWHILE, A POTENT TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE AND SURFACE  
COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST THROUGHOUT THE DAY, THEN  
CROSS THE AREA TONIGHT. THE FRONT WILL BRING THE NEXT CHANCE OF  
RAIN ALONG WITH WINDY CONDITIONS. GUSTY RAIN SHOWERS AND A POSSIBLE  
THUNDERSTORM ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT AS THE COLD FRONT PUSHES ACROSS THE  
FORECAST AREA. WINDS WILL REMAIN GUSTY OUT OF THE SOUTH TONIGHT AT 30  
TO 35 MPH BEFORE SWITCHING TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST MONDAY.  
 
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE AREA BY LATE MONDAY WITH  
CONDITIONS DRYING OUT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY WINDS DIMINISH  
THROUGHOUT THE DAY AS CLOUD COVER DECREASES.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS  
LIKELY IN THE EVENING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS  
OVERNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......100 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...15 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH AFTER 3 AM. GUSTS UP TO  
28 MPH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........68 56 92 93 95 81  
WEATHER COV..... S CHC CHANCE DEFNTE DEFNTE CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 20 50 90 80 40  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 10 10 10  
TEMP............69 63 62 61 60 56  
RH..............63 81 90 100 100 100  
SURFACE WIND....S 16 S 13 S 10 S 12 S 10 SW 10  
SURFACE WND GST.28 24 21 21 20 21  
   
MONDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.  
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........61 58 56 56 49 26  
WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 30 30 30 10 10  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............53 51 54 57 59 61  
RH..............96 96 86 77 67 58  
SURFACE WIND....SW 10 W 12 W 14 W 15 W 14 W 13  
SURFACE WND GST.21 21 24 25 25 25  
 
 
FORECASTER...STUCK  
REQUESTED BY...KATY WEYFORTH  
TYPE OF REQUEST...OTHER  
.TAG 2523807.1/LWX  
.DELDT 10/19/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL KATY.WEYFORTH@MARYLAND.GOV  
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