184  
FNUS71 KLWX 031255  
FWSLWX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR LAUREL PRONG TRAIL...SHENANDOAH NATIONAL PARK  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC  
755 AM EST TUE FEB 3 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0800 EST ON FEBRUARY 03.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
CALM TO LIGHT WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING WILL BECOME SOUTH-SOUTHWEST  
TO SOUTHWEST AT AROUND 5-10 MPH BY LATE MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON.  
THERE WILL BE SLIGHTLY HIGHER WINDS OF 10-15 MPH ALONG THE RIDGETOP.  
WINDS ARE GOING TO BE LIGHTEST ON THE EASTERN SLOPES. INTERMITTENT  
CLOUD COVER THIS MORNING AROUND 4500-5000 FEET WILL BECOME MORE  
WIDESPREAD DURING THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON REACH  
THE LOWER TO MID 30S.  
 
EXPECT LOWER CLOUD CEILINGS AFTER SUNSET THIS EVENING, WITH CLOUDS  
AROUND 1000-1500 FEET TONIGHT. A PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW IS LIKELY TO  
BEGIN BETWEEN 6-8PM, WITH A STEADY SNOW FROM 9PM TO 4AM TONIGHT.  
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF HALF AN INCH TO 1 INCH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS  
BECOME NORTH OVERNIGHT AND INCREASE TO A STEADY 10-15 MPH.  
 
DRY CONDITIONS FOR WEDNESDAY, THOUGH COLDER AS HIGHS ONLY REACH THE  
MID TO UPPER 20S. WIND CHILLS BECOME A CONCERN TONIGHT INTO  
WEDNESDAY DUE TO THE INCREASING WINDS. THE LOWEST WIND CHILLS  
TONIGHT ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE LOW TEENS, BUT REMAIN IN THE UPPER  
TEENS DURING MOST OF THE DAY WEDNESDAY.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THIS MORNING BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY  
(75-85 PERCENT) IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SNOW  
IN THIS EVENING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.  
MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).WEST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH.  
 
TIME (EST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........64 65 63 71 80 84 85 87 91 92  
WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... SN SN SN  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 10 0 10 20 30  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............22 24 26 27 29 30 30 31 31 30  
RH..............77 74 75 66 64 59 61 62 64 67  
SURFACE WND DIR.W W W W W SW SW SW SW SW  
SURFACE WND SPD.8 8 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 8  
SURFACE WND GST.9 9 10 10 12 12 12 13 13 10  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 23.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).WEST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 7  
TO 9 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
 
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........93 88 91 92 92 93 87 82 77 75 71 66  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 60 60 70 50 40 30 30 20 20  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............29 29 29 29 29 29 29 28 27 26 25 24  
RH..............70 72 78 75 82 85 85 88 85 88 85 85  
SURFACE WND DIR.W W W SW SW W W W NW N N N  
SURFACE WND SPD.7 7 7 7 7 7 6 7 7 8 9 9  
SURFACE WND GST.9 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 9 10 12 13  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW  
EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 30.  
MIN HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).NORTH WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.  
 
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........61 59 52 56 60 64 65 66 68 72 75 76  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............23 23 22 23 23 24 25 26 27 26 26 25  
RH..............92 92 96 96 100 96 85 75 72 72 72 71  
SURFACE WND DIR.N N N N N N N N NE NE NE NE  
SURFACE WND SPD.10 10 9 9 8 7 7 6 7 7 7 7  
SURFACE WND GST.13 13 13 12 12 10 9 9 9 9 10 10  
 
 
FORECASTER...RODRIGUEZ  
REQUESTED BY...JOHN CRAIG  
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR  
.TAG 2601579.0/LWX  
.DELDT 02/03/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL SHAWN_GOCHENOUR@NPS.GOV,SHEN_COMMUNICATION@NPS.GOV  
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