651  
FNUS71 KLWX 201000  
FWSLWX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR NORTH RIVER BLACK LINING...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC  
600 AM EDT FRI MAR 20 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 EDT ON MARCH 20.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
MILDER TODAY WITH A CLIPPER SYSTEM BRINGING SOME RAIN SHOWERS TO THE  
AREA LATE IN THE DAY. SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS INCREASE TODAY WITH  
MOUNTAIN TOP GUSTS AROUND 25 TO 35 MPH. RAINFALL AMOUNTS HAVE  
TRENDED SLIGHTLY UPWARD, WITH 0.1-0.25" EXPECTED (LOCALLY HIGHER  
IN ANY THUNDERSTORMS).  
 
CONTINUED ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND WITH ANOTHER  
CHANCE FOR RAIN LATE IN THE WEEKEND WITH A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE.  
COOLER WEATHER RETURNS BY EARLY NEXT WEEK AS CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE  
APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...3 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.  
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 35  
MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 TO 21 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 24 TO  
32 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (86000 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (104900  
KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........40 35 48 72 90 89  
WEATHER COV..... S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 20  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............36 38 48 57 60 60  
RH..............82 79 63 51 47 51  
20 FT WIND......W 7 SW 8 SW 10 SW 14 SW 14 SW 14  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 18 23 28 30 31  
MIX HGT (FT)....200 200 900 2900 4300 4600  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 13 W 14 W 18 W 24 SW 29 SW 32  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 2 15 60 107 129  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR GOOD VYGD VYGD  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE LATE EVENING AND  
OVERNIGHT.  
CWR.................40 PERCENT DECREASING TO 30 PERCENT EARLY IN  
THE EVENING, THEN DECREASING TO 20 PERCENT  
EARLY IN THE EVENING INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT  
LATE IN THE EVENING INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT  
DECREASING TO 30 PERCENT OVERNIGHT DECREASING  
TO 10 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...13 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30  
MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 8 TO 9 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 22 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 17 TO 22 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 15  
TO 16 MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (52700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (3900 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........93 58 65 68 57 54  
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC CHANCE CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............40 20 40 40 10 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 10 10 10 10 0  
TEMP............56 52 51 50 49 48  
RH..............62 77 80 83 93 96  
20 FT WIND......W 14 W 14 W 12 W 10 NW 9 NW 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.30 29 26 24 22 20  
MIX HGT (FT)....2800 600 400 300 400 300  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 22 SW 20 W 20 W 17 W 17 NW 16  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..53 9 7 5 6 4  
VENTRATE CAT....FAIR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.  
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8 TO 16 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 6  
MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING TO  
THE WEST 6 TO 10 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (42800 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY (%).........59 59 34 27  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0  
TEMP............46 47 59 65  
RH..............96 93 55 40  
20 FT WIND......NW 7G18 NW 6G15 NW 6G15 W 6G14  
MIX HGT (FT)....300 600 2300 4900  
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 16 N 12 N 6 W 7  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 6 12 30  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR  
 

 
FORECASTER...BELAK  
REQUESTED BY...AARON STROBEL  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2606714.0/LWX  
.DELDT 03/20/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JAMES.COLLETT@USDA.GOV,AARON.P.STROBEL@USDA.GOV  
 
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