557  
FNUS71 KLWX 201230  
FWSLWX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR OAKLEY FOREST MILKCAN RX...VA DWR  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC  
830 AM EDT FRI MAR 20 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON MARCH 20.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
MILDER TODAY WITH A CLIPPER SYSTEM BRINGING SOME RAIN SHOWERS TO THE  
AREA LATE IN THE DAY. SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS INCREASE TODAY WITH  
MOUNTAIN GUSTS TO AROUND 25 TO 35 MPH.  
 
CONTINUED ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND WITH ANOTHER  
CHANCE FOR RAIN LATE IN THE WEEKEND WITH A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE.  
COOLER WEATHER RETURNS BY EARLY NEXT WEEK AS CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE  
APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT).  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.  
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 8 TO 16 MPH  
WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO 25 TO 30  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (6100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (74600 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (109700  
KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........9 23 20 31 36 49 63 83 88  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............44 51 58 63 66 69 70 70 70  
RH..............73 61 51 43 37 33 31 31 32  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 5 8 9 12 14 14 15 14  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 13 17 21 23 25 25 26 25  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 1.1 1.4 2.4 3.7 4.9 5.2 4.9 4.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 15 17 20 23 28 30 29 30  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..6 14 21 42 75 117 136 124 110  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR FR GD VGD VGD VGD VGD  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS IN THE EVENING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS  
LIKELY OVERNIGHT.  
CWR.................20 PERCENT INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT THIS EVENING  
INCREASING TO 60 PERCENT OVERNIGHT DECREASING TO  
20 PERCENT TOWARD DAYBREAK.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...15 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.  
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 25 MPH IN THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST  
AROUND 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (36500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (3900 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........94 91 74 73 42 25  
WEATHER COV.....S CHC CHANCE S CHC LIKELY S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............20 40 20 60 20 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 10 10 10 10 0  
TEMP............69 63 59 58 56 52  
RH..............35 46 60 64 72 86  
20 FT WIND......SW 13 SW 9 SW 6 W 6 SW 5 W 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.25 20 18 17 14 12  
MIX HGT (FT)....2000 1000 600 700 600 500  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 21 SW 21 SW 17 SW 16 SW 14 W 12  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..37 19 10 10 7 5  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.  
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN  
THE MORNING, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST  
AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (44500 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM  
SKY (%).........23 19 24  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0  
TEMP............50 56 67  
RH..............89 77 45  
20 FT WIND......NW 2G12 N 3G12 N 5G12  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 2200 3800  
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 10 N 16 N 10  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 31 35  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR  
 
 
FORECASTER...WITT  
REQUESTED BY...CASEY SOUSA  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2606453.1/LWX  
.DELDT 03/20/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL CASEY.SOUSA@DWR.VIRGINIA.GOV  
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