279  
FNUS71 KLWX 201541  
FWSLWX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BRAWNER RX...NPS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC  
1141 AM EDT FRI MAR 20 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON MARCH 23.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. WHILE SOME RAIN SHOWERS  
ARE POSSIBLE, A SOAKING RAIN APPEARS UNLIKELY. THE TIMING OF THE FRONT  
REMAINS A LITTLE UNCERTAIN, WITH SLOWER SOLUTIONS SUGGESTING THE CHANCE  
FOR A FEW SHOWERS COULD LINGER INTO MONDAY MORNING. THE REMAINDER OF  
MONDAY WILL FEATURE BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT,  
WITH GUSTS OF 25-35 MPH POSSIBLE. HUMIDITY VALUES WILL CRASH, POTENTIALLY  
REACHING THE 30S BY AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE LIGHTER TUESDAY BUT RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY WILL REMAIN LOW AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVERHEAD.  
   
MONDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.  
CWR.................20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.  
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 14 TO 15 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 22 TO 26 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (67300 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (EDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........54 44 43 25 20 15 10  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............20 20 10 10 10 10 10  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............57 57 58 57 57 57 56  
RH..............55 50 45 42 40 38 38  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..14 15 15 14 15 15 15  
20 FT WIND GUST.24 24 24 24 24 25 25  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.5 3.8 4.0 4.2 5.0 5.8 5.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.22 23 25 26 26 26 25  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..67 79 88 97 118 133 130  
VENTRATE CAT....GD GD GD GD VGD VGD VGD  
   
MONDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 32.  
MAX HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 14 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 14 TO 23 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 12  
TO 14 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (93400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO FAIR (14700 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........13 17 20 24 27 31 22 14 5 7 8 10  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............54 52 49 47 45 43 41 40 38 37 35 34  
RH..............39 40 41 44 47 51 52 53 54 56 59 60  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..14 12 10 10 10 10 9 9 8 7 7 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.23 22 20 20 18 18 17 16 15 15 14 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.7 3.1 1.7 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.4 1.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW N N N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.23 20 16 14 13 12 12 13 14 14 14 14  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..93 52 24 16 15 16 17 19 20 19 17 15  
VENTRATE CAT....GD FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.  
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 7  
TO 8 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (14500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (43200 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........9 9 8 8 8 8 14 19 25 29 32 36  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............33 32 33 35 38 42 45 48 49 51 52 52  
RH..............62 62 59 52 45 39 35 32 31 30 31 32  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N NE SE S  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 10 10 9 9 9 9 9 10 10 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 1.2 1.4 1.9 2.6 3.2 3.5 3.7 3.8 4.0 4.1 3.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N NE E SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 15 15 15 15 15 14 13 12 9 8 7  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..15 15 18 25 35 42 43 41 38 33 28 23  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR FR FR FR PR PR PR PR  
 
 
FORECASTER...SNYDER  
REQUESTED BY...CULBRETH  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2606794.0/LWX  
.DELDT 03/20/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL TIMOTHY_CULBRETH@NPS.GOV  
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