945  
FNUS71 KLWX 210305  
FWSLWX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR NORTH RIVER BLACK LINING...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC  
1105 PM EDT FRI MAR 20 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0500 EDT ON MARCH 21.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
ONGOING SHOWERS WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE  
OF HOURS. WHILE WIDESPREAD WETTING RAINS MAY NOT OCCUR, SOME  
LOCATIONS COULD RECEIVE BETWEEN A QUARTER AND HALF INCH. HIGH  
PRESSURE WILL QUICKLY RETURN WITH CONTINUED ABOVE AVERAGE  
TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND. HUMIDITY MAY DROP INTO THE 30S IN SOME  
LOCATIONS. GUSTY SOUTH WINDS RETURN SUNDAY. A STRONGER COLD FRONT  
WILL BRING THE NEXT CHANCE OF SHOWERS SUNDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER,  
RAINFALL AMOUNTS LOOK TO BE LIMITED AND SOME AREAS MAY REMAIN DRY.  
COOLER WEATHER RETURNS BY EARLY NEXT WEEK AS CANADIAN HIGH  
PRESSURE APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. MONDAY WILL FEATURE STRONG  
NORTHWEST WINDS AND DROPPING HUMIDITY LEVELS. TUESDAY WILL LIKELY  
HAVE LOW HUMIDITY BUT LIGHT WINDS.  
   
REST OF TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.  
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3600 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (EDT) 5 AM  
SKY (%).........68  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0  
TEMP............48  
RH..............93  
20 FT WIND......NW 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.17  
MIX HGT (FT)....300  
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 15  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.  
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE MORNING  
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING WEST 6 TO 7 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 5  
TO 13 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1900 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (52300 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........70 63 53 36 33 32  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............47 46 51 59 64 66  
RH..............93 93 80 55 41 38  
20 FT WIND......NW 8 NW 6 NW 5 NW 5 NW 3 W 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.17 13 13 10 10 14  
MIX HGT (FT)....200 200 800 2200 4100 4900  
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 14 N 10 N 7 N 6 SW 7 SW 12  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 2 5 11 25 49  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR FAIR  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.  
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHEAST AROUND 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING,  
THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN  
THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 14 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (39200 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (1100 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM  
SKY (%).........31 25 29 28  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0  
TEMP............64 54 48 47  
RH..............41 64 77 83  
20 FT WIND......SW 7G13 W 5G10 S 6G12 SW 8G14  
MIX HGT (FT)....3300 100 200 100  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 14 S 10 SW 9 SW 12  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..39 1 1 1  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...3 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.  
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 26 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO 22 TO 28 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (98600 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (124400  
KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........40 44 49 48 46 44 45 46 47 42 36 31  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............47 48 50 54 60 66 69 72 74 76 76 75  
RH..............86 83 80 74 64 54 51 46 43 40 39 40  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW W W W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 8 8 9 9 10 12 12 13 13 13 13  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 17 20 22 24 25 26 26 26 26 26  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.4 2.4 3.5 4.5 5.4 5.9 5.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 13 14 15 17 20 22 23 25 26 28 26  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..1 1 2 5 12 24 45 70 99 124 143 132  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR FR GD GD VGD VGD VGD  
 

 
FORECASTER...BELAK  
REQUESTED BY...AARON STROBEL  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2606714.2/LWX  
.DELDT 03/21/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JAMES.COLLETT@USDA.GOV,AARON.P.STROBEL@USDA.GOV  
 
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