508
FNUS71 KLWX 120850
FWSLWX
SPOT FORECAST FOR HONE QUARRY...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
450 AM EDT SUN APR 12 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0500 EDT ON APRIL 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
...ELEVATED TO NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPECTED
MONDAY...
A BUILDING UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL LEAD TO A SIGNIFICANT WARM UP
MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY WITH RECORD BREAKING TEMPERATURES
EXPECTED. THIS COMBINED WITH GUSTY SSW OR S WINDS GUSTING UP TO 30
MPH AND WORSENING DROUGHT CONDITIONS WILL LEAD TO NEAR CRITICAL
WEATHER CONDITIONS MONDAY, PARTICULARLY ACROSS THE VIRGINIA
PIEDMONT WHERE RH'S WILL DROP TO NEAR 30 PERCENT. LIGHTER WINDS
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WILL LOWER THE FIRE WEATHER RISK SOMEWHAT, BUT
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH AT
LEAST THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.
REST OF TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........46 AT IGNITION...MIN 46.
RH..................63 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MAX 73 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 3 MPH AT
IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /700 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MIN...POOR /700
KNOT-FT/.
TIME (EDT) 5AM
SKY (%).........24
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0
CHC OF THDR (%).0
TEMP............46
RH..............63
20 FT WIND DIR..SE
20 FT WIND SPD..3
20 FT WIND GUST.5
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.E
TRANSP WIND SPD.6
VRATE KT-FT/1K..1
VENTRATE CAT....PR
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 73.
RH..................MIN 43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 14 MPH EARLY IN
THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 20 MPH IN
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (69400 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........39 46 29 34 49 59
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............44 46 54 63 70 73
RH..............68 71 64 54 45 43
20 FT WIND......SE 3 S 5 S 8 S 12 S 12 S 13
20 FT WIND GUST.5 6 9 20 20 22
MIX HGT (FT)....100 200 1500 2600 3300 4100
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 6 S 8 S 16 S 18 S 18 S 20
VRATE KT-FT/1K..1 1 21 41 53 69
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR FAIR FAIR GOOD
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 56.
RH..................MAX 80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 18 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (56000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (2900 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM
SKY (%).........20 44 47 83
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0
TEMP............71 63 59 57
RH..............47 62 75 80
20 FT WIND......S 13G22 S 10G12 S 12G20 SW 14G23
MIX HGT (FT)....3500 300 300 300
TRANSPORT WIND..S 18 S 14 SW 14 SW 16
VRATE KT-FT/1K..56 3 3 4
VENTRATE CAT....FAIR POOR POOR POOR
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...5 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 79.
RH..................MIN 33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 18 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 28
MPH INCREASING TO 31 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 24 MPH INCREASING TO WEST 28 TO
32 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (94600 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (112800
KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM
SKY (%).........91 81 82
WEATHER COV..... S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 10 20
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 10
TEMP............56 69 79
RH..............72 44 34
20 FT WIND......SW 12G20 SW 14G23 W 18G31
MIX HGT (FT)....300 2300 5800
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 16 W 28 W 30
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 55 152
VENTRATE CAT....POOR FAIR EXNT
FORECASTER...ROSA
REQUESTED BY...COLLETT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2610096.0/LWX
.DELDT 04/12/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JAY.COLLETT@USDA.GOV,AARON.P.STROBEL@USDA.GOV, SHAWN.SMITH@NOAA.GOV
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