827
FXUS61 KLWX 280050
AFDLWX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
850 PM EDT WED MAY 27 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
SEVERE T-STORM & FLOOD WATCHES HAVE BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. EXPECT
IMPROVING CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.
KEY MESSAGES
-1) NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK AS
BROAD HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES OVER THE REGION.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK AS BROAD HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES OVER THE REGION.
THE SEVERE T-STORM WATCH ALONG AND SOUTH I-66/US-50 AND FLOOD WATCH
OVER THE WESTERN ALLEGHENIES HAVE BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. A FEW
RESIDUAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO WORK SOUTH AND
EAST ALONG THE COLD FRONT AS IT PUSHES THROUGH CENTRAL VA. NO
SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED ALTHOUGH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN, BRIEF
GUTSY WINDS, AND SMALL HAIL CANNOT BE RULED OUT. THE COVERAGE OF
SHOWERS WILL SHRINK AS THE NIGHT PROGRESSES ON WITH DRIER AIR
MOVING IN FROM THE NORTH/WEST.
THE COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO DROP SOUTH OF THE REGION THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING, WITH CLEARING SKIES AND MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS. A
LEFTOVER SHOWER CANNOT BE RULED OUT ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-64 (BETWEEN
7AM-1PM) WHERE SOME RESIDUAL MOISTURE WILL BE LEFTOVER AHEAD OF A
SECONDARY COLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY. THE SECONDARY FRONT WILL REINFORCE
THE DRY AIR AND SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES TO WRAP UP THE
WORKWEEK.
MOSTLY SUNNY TO SUNNY SKIES ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
SETTLES OVER THE REGION. THE HIGH WILL SLIDE OFFSHORE SATURDAY AS A
SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS PASS NEARBY. THE NORTHERN
STREAM UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL DROP A COLD FRONT THROUGH REGION
SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING DELIVERING EXTRA CLOUD COVER AND
BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR THE BACK HALF OF THE WEEKEND. EXPECT
HIGHS IN THE 70S (60S MOUNTAINS) THROUGH TUESDAY WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS
IN THE 40S AND 50S. UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL PERSISTS THROUGH THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK WITH A GRADUAL WARMING TREND EXPECTED.
AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
OUTSIDE OF A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
THROUGH 04Z/11PM, EXPECT IMPROVING AVIATION CONDITIONS. SOME PATCHY
FOG MAY BE NOTED AMONGST THE TERMINALS WITH THE GREATEST CONFIDENCE
TOWARD MRB WHERE SKIES LOOK TO CLEAR FIRST. ELSEWHERE, EXPECT SCT-
BKN VFR CIGS OVERNIGHT HOVERING BETWEEN 050-100 KFT. CLOUDS WILL
CLEAR FROM NORTH TO SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION AS THE COLD FRONT SAGS
SOUTH HEADING INTO THURSDAY MORNING. A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL
FOLLOW MID TO LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON LEADING TO NORTH/NORTHWESTERLY
GUSTS UP TO 25 KTS. WINDS DECREASE THURSDAY NIGHT WITH HIGH PRESSURE
SETTLING OVER THE REGION.
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NEXT WEEK. WINDS
WILL REMAIN LIGHT OUT OF THE WEST FRIDAY BEFORE TURNING TO THE
SOUTHWEST SATURDAY AND BACK TO THE NORTHWEST SUNDAY. SPEEDS WILL
GENERALLY RUN LESS THAN 15 KTS.
MARINE
SCA CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY
EVENING DUE TO NORTHERLY CHANNELING BEHIND A DEPARTING SECONDARY
FRONT. SUB-SCA LEVEL WINDS RETURN TO THE WATERS FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY
NIGHT WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD.
ADDITIONAL SCAS WILL BE NEEDED SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING DUE TO
SOUTHERLY CHANNELING. NO MARINE HAZARDS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY AT THIS TIME.
LWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
DC...NONE.
MD...NONE.
VA...NONE.
WV...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
DISCUSSION...CPB/EST
AVIATION...EST
MARINE...EST
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