600
FXUS62 KMFL 291130
AFDMFL
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
630 AM EST SAT NOV 29 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 626 AM EST SAT NOV 29 2025
- HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS CONTINUE THROUGH LATE SATURDAY
NIGHT IN THE GULF AND EARLY SUNDAY MORNING IN THE ATLANTIC.
- A HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK CONTINUES THIS WEEKEND FOR THE
ATLANTIC BEACHES, ALONG WITH DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS.
- GRADUAL WARMUP EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1203 AM EST SAT NOV 29 2025
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE TN VALLEY EARLY THIS MORNING WILL SHIFT EAST
TOWARDS THE MID ATLANTIC REGION TODAY AND EVENTUALLY MOVE OFF THE
COAST BY THIS EVENING. THIS WILL RESULT IN OUR LOW LEVEL WINDS
BECOMING MORE ENE TODAY AND SUNDAY. WITH A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT
REMAINING IN PLACE, BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TODAY WITH
AFTERNOON GUSTS OF 25-30 MPH EXPECTED. THE GRADIENT WILL RELAX FOR
SUNDAY WITH GUSTS OF ONLY 15-20 MPH EXPECTED. 00Z MFL SOUNDING
SHOWED PWAT VALUE OF 0.90 INCHES AND A LOT OF DRY AIR ABOVE 800 MB.
PWAT VALUES WILL START TO INCREASE TODAY, WITH VALUES OF 1.2-1.4
INCHES OVER THE FAR SOUTHERN PENINSULA BY LATE IN THE DAY, WITH 1.0-
1.2 INCHES CLOSER TO THE LAKE REGION. WITH THE INCREASE IN LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE, SOME WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON
INTO EARLY EVENING, MAINLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF ALLIGATOR ALLEY.
WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS POSSIBLE AGAIN ON SUNDAY, WITH CHANCES
ALONG THE COAST AND OVER THE FAR SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE PENINSULA.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE ON A MODERATING TREND WITH HIGHS TODAY IN THE
UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S. LOW TEMPS TONIGHT WILL BE IN THE LOW TO MID
60S AROUND THE LAKE AND SW FL, TO UPPER 60S AND LOW 70S ACROSS THE
EAST COAST METRO. SUNDAYS HIGH TEMPS WILL BE IN THE LOW TO MIDDLE
80S.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1203 AM EST SAT NOV 29 2025
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS NORTHERN FL EARLY IN THE WORK WEEK WILL
KEEP MUCH OF THE RAINFALL CHANCES TO OUR NORTH, SO IT'LL BE MAINLY
DRY ACROSS SOUTH FL OUTSIDE OF SOME OCCASIONAL COASTAL SHOWERS. THE
NEXT COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA MID WEEK AND SETTLE ACROSS THE
FL STRAITS LATE IN THE WEEK. LITTLE TO NO MOISTURE WILL BE
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FRONTAL PASSAGE, HOWEVER IT WILL PROVIDE A BIT
OF RELIEF WITH TEMPS AND HUMIDITY DROPPING BACK TO SEASONAL NORMS.
HIGHS EARLY IN THE WEEK WILL BE IN THE LOW TO MIDDLE 80S, AND LOW
TEMPS WILL BE IN THE 60S/70S. AFTER THE FRONTAL PASSAGE, HIGHS THE
REST OF THE WEEK WILL BE IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S, AND LOW
TEMPS WILL BE IN THE 50S/60S.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 620 AM EST SAT NOV 29 2025
VFR EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS AT ALL
TERMINALS. A FEW PERIODS OF MVFR CIGS/VIS WILL BE POSSIBLE AROUND
TMB AND MIA WITH QUICK SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON. NE WINDS WILL BE
BREEZY WITH GUSTS IN THE 25-30 KTS POSSIBLE THROUGH THE EARLY
EVENING.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1203 AM EST SAT NOV 29 2025
HAZARDOUS WINDS AND SEAS CONTINUE TODAY FOR BOTH THE ATLANTIC AND
GULF WATERS. NNE WINDS 20-25 KTS EXPECTED THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR
THE GULF WATERS AND INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING FOR THE ATLANTIC
WATERS. SEAS 3-6 FT IN THE GULF AND 6-10 FT IN THE ATLANTIC.
CONDITIONS IMPROVE ON SUNDAY, HOWEVER CAUTIONARY EASTERLY WINDS WILL
REMAIN IN THE ATLANTIC INTO EARLY THIS UPCOMING WEEK.
BEACHES
ISSUED AT 1203 AM EST SAT NOV 29 2025
STRONG EASTERLY FLOW WILL RESULT IN A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS THIS
WEEKEND FOR THE ATLANTIC BEACHES. AN ELEVATED RISK WILL REMAIN INTO
EARLY THIS UPCOMING WEEK.
WITH THE STRONG EASTERLY FLOW THIS WEEKEND, WAVES OF 6-8 FT IN THE
SURF ZONE ARE POSSIBLE ALONG PORTIONS OF THE ATLANTIC BEACHES THIS
MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MIAMI 78 71 82 72 / 20 30 10 10
WEST KENDALL 79 68 83 69 / 20 30 10 10
OPA-LOCKA 79 70 83 71 / 10 20 10 10
HOMESTEAD 78 71 81 71 / 20 40 10 10
FORT LAUDERDALE 77 71 81 71 / 20 20 10 10
N FT LAUDERDALE 77 71 81 71 / 10 20 10 10
PEMBROKE PINES 80 70 83 71 / 10 20 10 10
WEST PALM BEACH 77 70 81 71 / 10 10 20 10
BOCA RATON 79 70 82 71 / 20 20 10 10
NAPLES 82 66 85 68 / 0 0 0 0
MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR FLZ168-172-173.
HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY FOR FLZ168-172-173.
AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY FOR AMZ630-650-651-
670-671.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 AM EST SUNDAY FOR GMZ656-657-676.
SHORT TERM...CMF
LONG TERM....CMF
AVIATION...17
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