932
FXUS62 KMFL 300505
AFDMFL
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1205 AM EST SUN NOV 30 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE, BEACHES
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1202 AM EST SUN NOV 30 2025
- HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS CONTINUE THROUGH THIS MORNING FOR
THE GULF WATERS AND EARLY THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE ATLANTIC
WATERS.
- A HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK CONTINUES THROUGH MONDAY FOR THE
ATLANTIC BEACHES.
- SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS POSSIBLE THROUGHOUT THE DAY.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1202 AM EST SUN NOV 30 2025
WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NORTH ACROSS THE AREA TODAY BEFORE SETTLING
OVER NORTHERN FL ON MONDAY. LATEST 00Z MFL SOUNDING SHOWS A PWAT
VALUE OF 1.21 INCHES, WITH MUCH OF THE MOISTURE CONFINED BELOW 800
MB. LATEST HREF SHOWS MOISTURE SLOWLY SURGING NORTH ACROSS THE STATE
THROUGHOUT THE DAY. SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL BE MORE LIKELY ACROSS THE
ENTIRE EAST COAST METRO TODAY, WITH FAIRLY LOW CHANCES OVER INLAND
AND SW FL. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE FAIRLY MEAGER, WITH MOST AREAS
SEEING A TENTH OF AN INCH OR LESS. WITH THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
RELAXING TODAY, WINDS WON'T BE NEARLY AS BREEZY AS THE PAST COUPLE
DAYS, BUT COULD STILL SEE SOME AFTERNOON GUSTS IN THE 20-25 MPH
RANGE ESPECIALLY CLOSE TO THE ATLANTIC COAST. HIGH TEMPS THIS
AFTERNOON WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER 80S ACROSS THE EAST COAST METRO
TO MID 80S OVER SW FL. SOME COASTAL SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS
EVENING ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST, WITH FAIRLY DRY CONDITIONS
EXPECTED INLAND. LOW TEMPS WILL BE MILD RANGING FROM THE LOWER 60S
AROUND THE LAKE TO THE LOWER 70S OVER SE FL.
WITH THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER NORTHERN FL ON MONDAY, RAINFALL
CHANCES WILL BE DIMINISHED OVER SOUTH FL, HOWEVER SOME WIDELY
SCATTERED COASTAL SHOWERS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE. HIGH TEMPS WILL
AGAIN RANGE FROM THE LOWER 80S ACROSS THE EAST COAST METRO TO MIDDLE
80S OVER SW FL.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1202 AM EST SUN NOV 30 2025
TUESDAY WILL BE THE WARMEST DAY OF THE WEEK WITH SOUTHERLY FLOW IN
PLACE. SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE LATE IN THE DAY NORTH OF
ALLIGATOR ALLEY, WITH MOST OF THE SE FL METRO REMAINING DRY. A COLD
FRONT CROSSES THE AREA EARLY WEDNESDAY, WITH LITTLE TO NO MOISTURE
ASSOCIATED WITH IT. THE FRONT WILL HOWEVER BRING SOME RELIEF IN
TERMS OF TEMPS AND LOWER HUMIDITY FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WORK
WEEK.
HIGH TEMPS ON TUESDAY WILL BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S, AND THEN LOW
TO MID 80S ARE EXPECTED FOR HIGHS THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. LOW
TEMPS WILL BE IN THE 60S/70S TUESDAY NIGHT, AND THEN 50S/60S FROM
MID WEEK THROUGH THE END OF THE WORK WEEK.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1202 AM EST SUN NOV 30 2025
ENE WINDS 10-15 KTS WITH GUSTS OF 20-25 KTS THROUGH EARLY THIS
EVENING. SCT SHOWERS POSSIBLE THROUGHOUT THE DAY ACROSS THE EAST
COAST METRO. MVFR CEILINGS WILL BE PREVAILING FOR THE EAST COAST
TERMINALS.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1202 AM EST SUN NOV 30 2025
HAZARDOUS WINDS AND SEAS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING
ACROSS THE ATLANTIC WATERS, WITH CAUTIONARY ENE WINDS ACROSS THE
AREA WATERS THROUGH MONDAY. 6-10 FT WAVES IN THE ATLANTIC EARLY THIS
MORNING SUBSIDE TO 3-5 FT BY THIS EVENING. 3-5 FT WAVES THIS MORNING
IN THE GULF WILL SUBSIDE TO 1-3 FT BY THIS EVENING. A BRIEF PERIOD
OF HAZARDOUS WINDS ARE POSSIBLE LATE TUESDAY IN THE NORTHERN
ATLANTIC WATERS AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT.
BEACHES
ISSUED AT 1202 AM EST SUN NOV 30 2025
STRONG EASTERLY FLOW CONTINUES TODAY WHICH WILL RESULT IN A HIGH
RISK OF RIP CURRENTS FOR THE ATLANTIC BEACHES. THE THREAT MAY
CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY BEFORE CONDITIONS IMPROVE ON TUESDAY AS THE
LOW LEVEL FLOW BECOMES MORE SOUTHERLY.
WITH THE STRONG EASTERLY FLOW THROUGH THIS MORNING, WAVES OF 6-8 FT
IN THE SURF ZONE ARE POSSIBLE ALONG PORTIONS OF THE ATLANTIC
BEACHES. AS THE EASTERLY FLOW WEAKENS LATER IN THE DAY, WAVES ARE
PROJECTED TO SUBSIDE.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MIAMI 82 72 82 73 / 30 10 10 10
WEST KENDALL 82 68 84 70 / 20 10 10 0
OPA-LOCKA 82 70 83 72 / 30 10 10 10
HOMESTEAD 81 71 82 73 / 30 10 10 0
FORT LAUDERDALE 80 71 81 73 / 30 10 10 10
N FT LAUDERDALE 81 72 81 73 / 30 10 10 10
PEMBROKE PINES 83 70 84 72 / 30 10 10 10
WEST PALM BEACH 81 70 81 71 / 20 10 10 10
BOCA RATON 82 71 83 72 / 30 10 10 10
NAPLES 85 67 85 69 / 10 0 0 0
MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR FLZ168-172-173.
HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR FLZ168-172-
173.
AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR AMZ630.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR AMZ650-
651-670-671.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR GMZ656-657-
676.
SHORT TERM...CMF
LONG TERM....CMF
AVIATION...CMF
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