567  
FWUS46 KMFR 231101  
AVGMFR  
 
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR  
401 AM PDT WED OCT 23 2024  
 
   
..MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)
 
 
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/23/24 THURSDAY 10/24/24  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER SC SC BK OV SC FW CL CL FW SC SC FW FW FW FW FW FW  
CLOUD COVER (%) 35 35 70 90 35 10 5 5 15 30 30 25 10 10 5 10 20  
TEMPERATURE 41 38 43 41 34 31 30 31 33 32 41 45 44 37 40 40 40  
MAX/MIN TEMP 44 27 45 37  
WIND DIR SW W SW W NW N N NE NE NE NE N NW NW NW N E  
WIND (MPH) 19 18 21 20 24 11 11 10 10 6 3 3 4 6 9 12 8  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 5 40 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.2 7.2 7.2 7.1 6.7 5.2 4.9 4.6 4.5 4.9 6.5 7.1 7.3 7.3 7.6 7.9 8.3  
 
   
..MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)
 
 
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/23/24 THURSDAY 10/24/24  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER SC SC OV OV FW FW CL CL FW SC SC FW FW FW FW FW FW  
CLOUD COVER (%) 35 35 70 90 25 10 5 5 15 30 30 25 5 10 5 10 20  
TEMPERATURE 33 34 46 41 33 25 24 22 23 24 42 45 43 32 32 33 33  
MAX/MIN TEMP 46 21 47 31  
WIND DIR S W W W NW NW N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E E  
WIND (MPH) 11 10 13 14 17 8 8 6 5 4 3 3 3 4 5 8 6  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 5 30 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.1 7.0 7.0 6.9 6.7 5.1 4.7 4.4 4.3 4.6 6.3 6.9 7.2 7.3 7.5 7.8 8.3  
 
   
..MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)
 
 
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/23/24 THURSDAY 10/24/24  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER SC SC BK OV SC FW CL CL FW SC SC FW FW FW FW FW FW  
CLOUD COVER (%) 35 35 65 90 30 10 5 5 10 30 35 20 10 10 5 10 25  
TEMPERATURE 41 40 43 41 35 30 30 31 33 33 39 44 43 37 39 39 40  
MAX/MIN TEMP 45 28 45 37  
WIND DIR SW W SW W NW N N NE NE NE NE N N NW NW N NE  
WIND (MPH) 17 16 19 18 20 11 11 11 10 6 4 3 4 6 9 12 8  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 5 40 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.2 7.3 7.2 7.2 6.8 5.2 4.9 4.5 4.4 4.8 6.4 6.9 7.3 7.3 7.6 7.9 8.3  
 
   
..MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)
 
 
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/23/24 THURSDAY 10/24/24  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER SC SC OV OV BK FW CL FW FW SC SC FW FW FW FW FW FW  
CLOUD COVER (%) 35 40 75 90 55 10 5 5 15 30 30 25 10 10 5 10 20  
TEMPERATURE 30 31 34 30 24 22 22 23 25 26 35 36 35 27 29 30 31  
MAX/MIN TEMP 34 19 38 27  
WIND DIR SW W SW W NW N N NE NE NE NE W W SW W W S  
WIND (MPH) 24 23 27 26 31 25 19 19 13 11 6 8 10 13 18 21 11  
WIND GUST (MPH) 46 43 52 62 41 44 28 34 44 44  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 5 40 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.3 7.3 7.3 7.1 6.6 5.1 4.8 4.7 4.8 5.1 6.9 7.4 7.5 7.4 7.7 8.1 8.3  
 
   
..ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)
 
 
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/23/24 THURSDAY 10/24/24  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER SC SC BK OV BK FW FW FW FW SC SC SC FW FW FW FW FW  
CLOUD COVER (%) 40 45 65 95 55 25 20 15 20 25 35 30 5 10 10 10 25  
TEMPERATURE 38 37 43 41 33 27 26 26 27 28 36 43 43 36 36 37 37  
MAX/MIN TEMP 44 25 45 35  
WIND DIR SW W SW W NW NW N NE NE NE NE E E NE SE SE SE  
WIND (MPH) 9 9 9 8 14 18 16 12 10 5 8 6 4 5 5 9 10  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 5 40 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.4 7.2 7.2 6.9 6.5 5.4 4.5 3.9 3.7 4.0 5.8 6.6 7.0 7.2 7.4 7.6 8.1  
 
   
..CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)
 
 
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/23/24 THURSDAY 10/24/24  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER SC SC BK OV SC CL CL CL FW FW SC FW FW FW CL FW SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 35 35 65 85 35 5 5 5 10 15 30 15 5 5 5 10 25  
TEMPERATURE 45 45 51 49 42 36 34 32 32 35 45 52 52 44 44 44 44  
MAX/MIN TEMP 52 30 54 42  
WIND DIR SW W N N N NW N N NW NW N N N NW W S NE  
WIND (MPH) 4 3 6 13 14 18 13 8 6 5 5 4 3 4 3 4 3  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 5 30 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.1 6.9 6.9 6.9 6.8 5.3 4.5 3.9 3.8 4.0 5.6 6.4 7.0 7.4 7.7 7.9 8.5  
 
   
..MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)
 
 
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/23/24 THURSDAY 10/24/24  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER SC SC OV OV SC FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 45 45 75 90 50 20 10 5 15 25 25 15 10 10 5 10 25  
TEMPERATURE 42 43 45 43 36 31 29 30 32 34 41 48 47 41 41 41 43  
MAX/MIN TEMP 46 27 48 40  
WIND DIR SW NW NW NW N NW N N N N NE NE NE N SE SE S  
WIND (MPH) 5 5 8 12 13 17 16 9 8 4 4 4 3 4 5 9 5  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 5 30 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.0 6.8 6.7 6.6 6.5 5.3 4.4 3.9 4.0 4.2 5.9 6.6 7.2 7.4 7.6 7.8 8.4  
 
   
..WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)
 
 
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/23/24 THURSDAY 10/24/24  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV BK SC FW FW SC BK BK SC FW SC SC FW SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 75 90 95 60 50 10 15 40 65 55 35 20 30 30 25 25  
TEMPERATURE 35 33 33 30 31 27 26 24 24 26 37 43 43 35 35 35 34  
MAX/MIN TEMP 36 22 44 32  
WIND DIR SW W W W NW W N E E E E SE SE E E E SE  
WIND (MPH) 14 13 14 14 13 18 14 12 9 8 6 4 5 6 6 9 9  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 10 40 50 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.2 5.9 5.7 5.3 4.9 4.3 3.6 3.2 3.2 3.4 5.1 5.7 6.2 5.9 6.0 6.2 6.9  
 
   
..GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)
 
 
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/23/24 THURSDAY 10/24/24  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV BK SC FW FW SC BK BK SC FW SC SC FW FW  
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 75 90 95 50 40 10 15 40 65 50 35 20 30 25 20 25  
TEMPERATURE 34 32 32 30 30 26 24 23 23 23 35 41 41 34 33 32 32  
MAX/MIN TEMP 35 21 42 30  
WIND DIR SW W W W NW W N E E E E SE SE E E E SE  
WIND (MPH) 16 14 16 17 14 18 14 11 9 5 6 5 5 6 8 9 8  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 10 50 60 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.1 5.9 5.8 5.4 4.9 4.4 3.6 3.2 3.2 3.2 4.7 5.4 5.9 5.9 5.9 6.0 6.8  
 
   
..BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)
 
 
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/23/24 THURSDAY 10/24/24  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV SC FW FW FW SC BK SC SC FW FW FW FW FW  
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 70 95 95 45 25 20 15 25 55 35 25 10 20 15 15 15  
TEMPERATURE 34 33 36 32 33 28 25 24 23 22 33 43 44 36 34 33 32  
MAX/MIN TEMP 38 22 46 30  
WIND DIR W W W W NW NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E NE E  
WIND (MPH) 4 5 9 10 5 4 6 10 10 10 9 6 5 6 6 6 11  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 5 40 80 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.3 5.9 5.8 5.5 5.0 4.4 3.9 3.5 3.2 3.1 4.7 5.5 5.9 6.3 6.3 6.5 7.4  
 
   
..MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)
 
 
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/23/24 THURSDAY 10/24/24  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV BK BK FW FW SC BK BK SC FW SC SC FW FW  
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 80 90 95 60 55 15 15 40 55 50 35 15 30 25 25 20  
TEMPERATURE 34 33 32 30 29 26 25 24 25 26 36 43 42 35 35 35 35  
MAX/MIN TEMP 35 23 44 33  
WIND DIR SW W W W NW NW N E E E E SE E E E E SE  
WIND (MPH) 8 8 11 11 10 17 13 11 9 5 6 5 5 9 6 9 11  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 20 40 30 10 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.1 5.8 5.6 5.2 4.9 4.4 3.7 3.2 3.2 3.2 4.8 5.5 5.9 6.0 6.0 6.3 7.1  
 
   
..MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)
 
 
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/23/24 THURSDAY 10/24/24  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV BK BK FW FW SC BK BK SC FW SC SC SC FW  
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 80 90 90 70 65 20 20 45 55 60 35 20 30 30 25 25  
TEMPERATURE 34 33 32 30 30 27 25 24 24 26 37 44 43 36 34 35 35  
MAX/MIN TEMP 34 22 45 33  
WIND DIR SW W W W NW W N E E E E SE E E E E SE  
WIND (MPH) 8 8 10 9 10 17 13 10 8 5 6 4 5 10 6 8 10  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 20 40 30 10 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.0 5.7 5.5 5.2 4.8 4.4 3.6 3.0 3.1 3.2 4.9 5.6 6.0 5.8 5.8 6.1 6.9  
 
   
..MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)
 
 
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/23/24 THURSDAY 10/24/24  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV SC FW FW CL FW SC SC FW FW FW FW FW FW  
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 85 95 90 40 20 10 5 20 45 30 15 10 15 15 10 20  
TEMPERATURE 39 38 37 33 30 28 29 30 30 31 38 42 42 37 40 40 40  
MAX/MIN TEMP 40 27 43 37  
WIND DIR W NW NW NW NW N NE E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
WIND (MPH) 6 6 9 13 11 14 14 10 9 9 11 8 4 6 5 10 13  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 5 30 60 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.9 5.5 5.9 5.5 5.1 4.6 4.1 3.6 3.6 3.6 4.8 5.6 6.2 6.7 7.1 7.3 8.2  
 

 
 
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---  
 
CODE TYPE  
T THUNDERSTORMS  
R RAIN  
S SNOW  
I SLEET  
Z FREEZING RAIN  
 
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