825
FNUS76 KMFR 231616
FWSMFR
SPOT FORECAST FOR DEVILS KNOB REPAIR...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
916 AM PDT WED OCT 23 2024
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1200 PDT ON OCTOBER 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
WE ARE HEADED INTO A PATTERN CHANGE THIS WEEKEND. DRY,
MILD WEATHER FRIDAY WILL GIVE WAY TO MULTIPLE WEATHER SYSTEMS THIS
WEEKEND. THE FIRST WILL ARRIVE ALONG THE COAST AS EARLY AS FRIDAY
NIGHT. BUT, IT WILL TAKE SOME TIME FOR THAT ONE TO MOVE ONSHORE. AS
SUCH RAIN CHANCES INCREASE, BUT PROBABLY NOT REALLY IN EARNEST UNTIL
SATURDAY NIGHT AS A STRONGER FRONT OFFSHORE PUSHES INLAND. WE DO
EXPECT WIDESPREAD MEANINGFUL RAIN WITH THAT ONE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO
SUNDAY. THE RAIN COULD BE BRIEFLY HEAVY TOO. THERE SHOULD BE A BREAK
SUNDAY AFTERNOON AS THE FRONT PUSHES EAST, BUT PERIODS OF RAIN CONTINUE
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY AS ANOTHER DISTURBANCE PUSHES THROUGH. TOTAL
RAINFALL WILL BE GREATER THAN AN INCH (>90% CHANCE) WITH ABOUT A 30%
CHANCE OF 2 INCHES. BY TUESDAY, ISOLATED RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS COULD
LINGER, BUT OVERALL, IT SHOULD MOSTLY DRY OUT. SNOW LEVELS COULD DROP
BRIEFLY TO NEAR THE BURN ELEVATION, MONDAY MORNING OR TUESDAY
MORNING.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS AROUND 2 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10-15 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 20% CHANCE OF
RAIN TOWARD MORNING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
MAX HUMIDITY........50-60 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST UP TO 3 MPH
OVERNIGHT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 6 TO 8 MPH
OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
CWR.................4 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........VARIABLE CLOUDINESS. A 30% CHANCE OF RAIN.
RAIN CHANCES REMAIN HIGHEST WEST OF THE BURN
AREA, BUT INCREASE TO 90% AT NIGHT.
RAIN AMOUNT.........0.25-0.40 OF AN INCH (MOSTLY AT NIGHT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-50 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 2 MPH IN THE MORNING
BECOMING LIGHT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE MORNING
BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.
CWR.................25 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
SUNDAY
RAIN. CHANCE NEAR 100%. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.
LIGHT WINDS. RAIN AMOUNT SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT: 0.50-0.75 OF
AN INCH.
MONDAY
RAIN. CHANCE NEAR 100%. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S.
LIGHT WINDS. RAIN AMOUNT MONDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT: 0.25-0.50 OF
AN INCH.
TUESDAY
40% CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS AROUND 40.
LIGHT WINDS. RAIN AMOUNT: LESS THAN 0.10 OF AN INCH.
FORECASTER...SPILDE
REQUESTED BY...MARISSA DUARTE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2424717.0/MFR
.DELDT 10/23/24
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL MARISSA.DUARTE@USDA.GOV,CALIB.BALDWIN@USDA.GOV
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