350
FNUS76 KMFR 250348
FWSMFR
SPOT FORECAST FOR CBM TRAINING BURN...NRCS/PF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
848 PM PDT THU OCT 24 2024
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 PDT ON OCTOBER 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
WE ARE EXPECTING GREAT OVERNIGHT RH RECOVERIES
TONIGHT (~90%) LEADING INTO FRIDAY'S IGNITION TIME. HOWEVER, EVEN
WITH THESE RECOVERIES WE ARE STILL EXPECTING A SOMEWHAT DRY
AFTERNOON AS RH DROPS DOWN INTO THE 30 PERCENT RANGE ON FRIDAY.
TYPICAL DIURNAL MIXING EXPECTED WITH THE INVERSION BREAKING AROUND
12PM TO 1PM FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THEREAFTER, WINDS WILL PICK UP
LATER IN THE AFTERNOON, AND WILL REMAIN CONSISTENT THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. RAIN CHANCES START TO INCREASE FRIDAY
NIGHT WITH WIDESPREAD WETTING RAIN CHANCES THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 2 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
AROUND 13 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
TIME (PDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY COVER.......PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............38 38 48 60 70 74
RH..............80 76 61 45 35 35
20 FT WIND......E 2 S 1 S 1 S 3 SW 6 SW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.4 2 2 5 10 10
EYE LEVEL WIND..E 1 S 0 S 0 S 1 SW 2 SW 2
EYE LVL WND GST.2 1 1 2 4 4
MIX HGT (FT)....700 800 800 2400 3600 3600
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 5 S 6 S 6 S 8 S 14 S 14
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
IN THE EVENING, THEN RAIN LIKELY LATE IN THE
EVENING. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY EARLY IN THE
MORNING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MAX HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 2 MPH LATE IN
THE EVENING.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN
THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
CWR.................13 PERCENT.
TIME (PDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY COVER.......MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN
TSTM COV........
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............69 64 58 57 56 55
RH..............39 40 41 48 59 71
20 FT WIND......SW 4 S 4 S 4 S 6 S 6 S 6
20 FT WIND GUST. 6 6 10 10 10
EYE LEVEL WIND..SW 1 S 1 S 1 S 2 S 2 S 2
EYE LVL WND GST.2 2 2 4 4 4
MIX HGT (FT)....1600 1400 1400 1400 1300 1300
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 13 S 13 S 13 S 15 S 13 S 13
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
LIKELY, THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS AROUND 2 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 2
MPH LATE IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5
MPH LATE IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................13 PERCENT INCREASING TO 87 PERCENT LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (PDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY COVER.......MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............54 53 58 64 68 69
RH..............78 77 71 62 57 59
20 FT WIND......S 6 S 4 S 4 S 5 SW 3 SW 3
20 FT WIND GUST.7 6 6 6 4 4
EYE LEVEL WIND..S 2 S 1 S 1 S 2 SW 1 SW 1
EYE LVL WND GST.3 2 2 2 2
MIX HGT (FT)....1000 800 800 1900 3900 3900
TRANSPORT WIND..S 10 S 7 S 7 S 8 S 9 S 9
FORECASTER...GUERRERO
REQUESTED BY...NRCS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2424857.0/MFR
.DELDT 10/25/24
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL CSANYI.MATUSICKY@USDA.GOV
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page