833  
FNUS76 KMFR 182355  
FWSMFR  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR AFR LANDING PILES...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR  
355 PM PST TUE FEB 18 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 PST ON FEBRUARY 19.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
A FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL BRING SHIFTING WINDS ON WEDNESDAY  
(SE-NW) WITH WIDESPREAD WETTING RAINFALL (80% CHANCE). THE FRONT WILL  
MOVE EAST OF THE AREA WEDNESDAY EVENING. LIGERING SHOWERS WILL END,  
BUT SOME LOW CLOUDS/FOG COULD REMAIN. THINGS DRY OUT ON THURSDAY WITH  
A RETURN OF SOME SUN AND SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES/HUMIDITY. DRY WEATHER  
IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST FRIDAY, THEN WEAK DISTURBANCES WILL LIKELY BRING  
AN INCREASE OF CLOUDS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING AHEAD OF  
RAIN LATER SATURDAY INTO EARLY MONDAY.  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY WITH PERIODS OF RAIN. BEST CHANCE (90%) FROM  
0700-1500.  
RAIN AMOUNT: 0.10-0.20".  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.  
MIN HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SE-SW 10-15 MPH THROUGH 0900, THEN SHIFTING TO THE  
WNW AT SIMILAR SPEEDS AFTER 0900. GUSTS UP TO 26 MPH  
EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SW 15-25 MPH.  
CWR.................80 PERCENT.  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 30% CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE  
EVENING.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NW 3-5 MPH BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SW 10-15 MPH EASING TO 5-10 MPH.  
CWR.................20 PERCENT.  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SOME FOG/LOW CLOUDS IN THE MORNING; OTHERWISE, PARTLY  
SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.  
MIN HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE OR NORTH 0-3 MPH..  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
 
 
FORECASTER...SPILDE  
REQUESTED BY...HARDESTY  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2503211.0/MFR  
.DELDT 02/18/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL EDWARD.HARDESTY@USDA.GOV  
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
The Nexlab OR Page
The Nexlab CA Page
Main Text Page