475  
FNUS76 KMFR 190348  
FWSMFR  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR UAW FLUMET...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR  
748 PM PST TUE FEB 18 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 PST ON FEBRUARY 19.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
A FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL BRING SHIFTING WINDS ON WEDNESDAY  
(SE-NW) WITH WIDESPREAD WETTING RAINFALL (~90% CHANCE). THE FRONT WILL  
MOVE EAST OF THE AREA WEDNESDAY EVENING. LINGERING SHOWERS WILL END,  
BUT SOME LOW CLOUDS/FOG COULD REMAIN. THINGS DRY OUT ON THURSDAY WITH  
A RETURN OF SOME SUN AND SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES/HUMIDITY. DRY WEATHER  
IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST FRIDAY, THEN WEAK DISTURBANCES WILL LIKELY BRING  
AN INCREASE OF CLOUDS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING AHEAD OF  
RAIN LATER SATURDAY INTO EARLY MONDAY.  
 
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY WITH PERIODS OF RAIN. BEST CHANCE (90%) FROM  
0700-1500.  
RAIN AMOUNT: 0.20-0.30".  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.  
MIN HUMIDITY........80-85 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SE-SW 5-8 MPH THROUGH 0900, THEN SHIFTING TO THE  
WNW AT SIMILAR SPEEDS AFTER 0900. GUSTS 14 MPH EARLY  
IN THE MORNING.  
WIND (20 FT)........SE-SW 10-15 MPH THROUGH 0900, THEN SHIFTING TO THE  
WNW AT SIMILAR SPEEDS AFTER 0900. GUSTS UP TO 24 MPH  
EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SW 15-25 MPH.  
CWR.................86 PERCENT.  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 30% CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE  
EVENING.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 31.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NW 1-3 MPH BECOMING CALM.  
WIND (20 FT)........NW 3-5 MPH BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SW 10-15 MPH EASING TO 5 MPH.  
CWR.................27 PERCENT.  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SOME FOG/LOW CLOUDS IN THE MORNING; OTHERWISE, PARTLY  
SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.  
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....CALM OR VARIABLE 0-1 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE OR NORTH 0-3 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5-10 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
 

 
FORECASTER...SPILDE  
REQUESTED BY...LLOYD CRUZ  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2503212.0/MFR  
.DELDT 02/19/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL LLOYD.CRUZ@USDA.GOV  
 
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