884
WGUS86 KMFR 162330
FLSMFR
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
430 PM PDT SUN MAR 16 2025
...FORECAST FLOODING CHANGED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY AND
INCREASED IN DURATION FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN OREGON...
COW CREEK NEAR RIDDLE AFFECTING DOUGLAS COUNTY.
...THE FLOOD WARNING IS EXTENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
OREGON...
ELK CREEK NEAR DRAIN AFFECTING DOUGLAS COUNTY.
SOUTH UMPQUA RIVER AT ROSEBURG AFFECTING DOUGLAS COUNTY.
SOUTH UMPQUA RIVER NEAR WINSTON AFFECTING DOUGLAS COUNTY.
..THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN OREGON
UMPQUA RIVER NEAR ELKTON AFFECTING DOUGLAS COUNTY.
DEER CREEK AT ROSEBURG AFFECTING DOUGLAS COUNTY.
FOR THE COW CREEK...INCLUDING RIDDLE...MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
FOR THE DEER CREEK...INCLUDING ROSEBURG...MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
FOR THE ELK CREEK - DOUGLAS COUNTY...INCLUDING DRAIN...MODERATE
FLOODING IS FORECAST.
FOR THE SOUTH UMPQUA RIVER...INCLUDING WINSTON, ROSEBURG...MINOR
FLOODING IS FORECAST.
FOR THE UMPQUA RIVER...INCLUDING ELKTON...MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MOTORISTS SHOULD NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE AROUND BARRICADES OR DRIVE
CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.
STAY TUNED TO FURTHER DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO YOUR LOCAL RADIO,
TELEVISION, OR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER INFORMATION.
PLEASE REPORT OBSERVED FLOODING TO LOCAL EMERGENCY SERVICES OR LAW
ENFORCEMENT AND REQUEST THEY PASS THIS INFORMATION TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.
BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING.
TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD
DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.
THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED LATE TONIGHT AT 445 AM PDT.
ORC019-171145-
/O.EXT.KMFR.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-250317T2023Z/
/RSBO3.1.ER.000000T0000Z.250317T0600Z.250317T0823Z.NO/
430 PM PDT SUN MAR 16 2025
..FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON
* WHAT...MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* WHERE...SOUTH UMPQUA RIVER AT ROSEBURG.
* WHEN...UNTIL EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACTS...AT 25.0 FEET, EXPECT FLOODING TO BEGIN ALONG DEER CREEK
CLOSE TO AND AT THE CONFLUENCE OF THE SOUTH UMPQUA RIVER.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- THERE IS NO CURRENT OBSERVED DATA.
- BANKFULL STAGE IS 22.0 FEET.
- FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO 23.6 FEET LATE THIS
EVENING. IT WILL THEN FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE JUST LATER
TONIGHT.
- FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET.
- FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF
24.0 FEET ON 11/23/1962.
- HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SAFETY/FLOOD
FLD OBSERVED FORECASTS (5 PM PDT)
LOCATION STG STG DAY/TIME MON TUE WED
SOUTH UMPQUA RIVER
ROSEBURG 22.0 MSG UNKNOWN 15.5 12.0 10.2
LAT...LON 4327 12347 4328 12344 4322 12333 4317 12335
4319 12340
ORC019-171145-
/O.EXT.KMFR.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-250317T1450Z/
/RDLO3.2.ER.250316T1748Z.250316T2300Z.250317T0250Z.NO/
430 PM PDT SUN MAR 16 2025
..FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MONDAY MORNING
* WHAT...MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS
FORECAST.
* WHERE...COW CREEK NEAR RIDDLE.
* WHEN...UNTIL MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACTS...AT 22.0 FEET, COW CREEK IS AT FLOOD STAGE. FLOODING OF
LOW-LYING FIELDS AND STRUCTURES BEGINS AT THIS POINT.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- AT 4:00 PM PDT SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.5 FEET.
- BANKFULL STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
- RECENT ACTIVITY...THE MAXIMUM RIVER STAGE IN THE 24 HOURS
ENDING AT 4:00 PM PDT SUNDAY WAS 25.5 FEET.
- FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL PEAK AROUND 25.5 FEET THIS EVENING,
THEN FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATER THIS EVENING OR OVERNIGHT.
- FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET.
- FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF
26.2 FEET ON 01/09/1995.
- HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SAFETY/FLOOD
FLD OBSERVED FORECASTS (5 PM PDT)
LOCATION STG STG DAY/TIME MON TUE WED
COW CREEK
RIDDLE 22.0 25.5 SUN 4 PM PDT 12.7 8.6 6.4
LAT...LON 4291 12349 4293 12348 4296 12334 4294 12333
4291 12340
ORC019-171145-
/O.EXT.KMFR.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-250317T1634Z/
/ECDO3.2.ER.250316T1840Z.250317T0000Z.250317T0434Z.NO/
430 PM PDT SUN MAR 16 2025
..FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE MONDAY MORNING
* WHAT...MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS
FORECAST.
* WHERE...ELK CREEK NEAR DRAIN.
* WHEN...UNTIL LATE MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACTS...AT 18.0 FEET, WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF LOW LANDS AND
STRUCTURES AT THIS STAGE.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- AT 4:15 PM PDT SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.0 FEET.
- BANKFULL STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
- RECENT ACTIVITY...THE MAXIMUM RIVER STAGE IN THE 24 HOURS
ENDING AT 4:15 PM PDT SUNDAY WAS 19.0 FEET.
- FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL PEAK AT 19.2 FEET THIS EVENING,
THEN FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE THIS EVENING OR OVERNIGHT.
- FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
- FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF
19.5 FEET ON 12/22/1964.
- HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SAFETY/FLOOD
FLD OBSERVED FORECASTS (5 PM PDT)
LOCATION STG STG DAY/TIME MON TUE WED
ELK CREEK
DRAIN 16.0 19.0 SUN 4 PM PDT 6.4 5.1 4.1
LAT...LON 4366 12336 4367 12331 4361 12327 4361 12329
4364 12331
ORC019-171145-
/O.EXT.KMFR.FL.W.0012.250317T0337Z-250318T0638Z/
/EKTO3.1.ER.250317T0337Z.250317T1200Z.250317T1838Z.NO/
430 PM PDT SUN MAR 16 2025
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING TO LATE MONDAY
EVENING...
* WHAT...MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* WHERE...UMPQUA RIVER NEAR ELKTON.
* WHEN...FROM THIS EVENING TO LATE MONDAY EVENING.
* IMPACTS...AT 35.0 FEET, THE UMPQUA RIVER IS AT FLOOD STAGE. EXPECT
LOW-LAND AND AGRICULTURAL FLOODING FROM THE KELLOG AREA THROUGH
ELKTON TO SCOTTSBURG.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- AT 3:15 PM PDT SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.1 FEET.
- BANKFULL STAGE IS 25.0 FEET.
- FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THIS EVENING
TO 37.2 FEET LATE TONIGHT. IT WILL THEN FALL BELOW FLOOD
STAGE LATE MONDAY MORNING.
- FLOOD STAGE IS 33.0 FEET.
- FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF
37.4 FEET ON 03/03/1972.
- HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SAFETY/FLOOD
FLD OBSERVED FORECASTS (5 PM PDT)
LOCATION STG STG DAY/TIME MON TUE WED
UMPQUA RIVER
ELKTON 33.0 25.1 SUN 3 PM PDT 28.9 18.0 13.9
LAT...LON 4371 12376 4367 12348 4328 12341 4327 12347
4338 12362
ORC019-171145-
/O.EXT.KMFR.FL.W.0015.250317T0427Z-250317T1826Z/
/WSNO3.1.ER.250317T0427Z.250317T0600Z.250317T0626Z.NO/
430 PM PDT SUN MAR 16 2025
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING TO LATE MONDAY
MORNING...
* WHAT...MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* WHERE...SOUTH UMPQUA RIVER NEAR WINSTON.
* WHEN...FROM THIS EVENING TO LATE MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACTS...AT 26.0 FEET, THE SOUTH UMPQUA RIVER IS AT FLOOD STAGE.
LOW-LAND FLOODING CAN BE EXPECTED FROM WINSTON UPSTREAM TO DILLARD.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- AT 3:15 PM PDT SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.7 FEET.
- BANKFULL STAGE IS 22.0 FEET.
- FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE TO 26.3 FEET
LATE THIS EVENING. IT WILL THEN FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE
OVERNIGHT OR MONDAY MORNING.
- FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
- FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF
26.6 FEET ON 12/31/2005.
- HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SAFETY/FLOOD
FLD OBSERVED FORECASTS (5 PM PDT)
LOCATION STG STG DAY/TIME MON TUE WED
SOUTH UMPQUA RIVER
WINSTON 26.0 23.7 SUN 3 PM PDT 18.3 14.1 11.1
LAT...LON 4319 12340 4317 12335 4302 12327 4294 12333
4310 12346
ORC019-171145-
/O.CON.KMFR.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-250317T2159Z/
/DEEO3.3.ER.250316T1405Z.250317T0000Z.250317T0959Z.NR/
430 PM PDT SUN MAR 16 2025
..FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON
* WHAT...MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
THIS IS VERY NEAR OR AT THE HIGHEST FLOOD ON RECORD.
* WHERE...DEER CREEK AT ROSEBURG.
* WHEN...UNTIL EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACTS...AT 12.0 FEET, WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF STRUCTURES AND
FARMLAND IS OCCURRING.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- AT 4:00 PM PDT SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.8 FEET.
- BANKFULL STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
- RECENT ACTIVITY...THE MAXIMUM RIVER STAGE IN THE 24 HOURS
ENDING AT 4:00 PM PDT SUNDAY WAS 15.9 FEET.
- FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL PEAK NEAR 16.2 FEET THIS EVENING,
THEN FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE JUST LATER TONIGHT OR VERY EARLY
MONDAY MORNING.
- FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
- FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF
15.4 FEET ON 12/06/1981.
- HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SAFETY/FLOOD
FLD OBSERVED FORECASTS (5 PM PDT)
LOCATION STG STG DAY/TIME MON TUE WED
DEER CREEK
ROSEBURG 10.0 15.8 SUN 4 PM PDT 5.4 4.9 4.5
LAT...LON 4321 12334 4322 12334 4322 12325 4321 12317
4320 12324
MAS
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page