202  
FXUS66 KMFR 131604  
AFDMFR  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR  
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR  
904 AM PDT TUE MAY 13 2025  
   
DISCUSSION  
RADAR IS SHOWING ISOLATED SHOWERS MAINLY NORTH OF  
THE UMPQUA DIVIDE, EAST OF THE CASCADES AND ALONG THE CASCADES.  
ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO THIS AFTERNOON, BUT  
MOST LOCATIONS AND HOURS COULD GET AWAY WITHOUT SEEING ANY  
PRECIPITATION. THE UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE SOUTH OF THE AREA  
TONIGHT WITH DRY WEATHER FORT MOST AREAS. COULD NOT RULE OUT A FEW  
SHOWERS HERE AND THERE ALONG THE CASCADES AND EASTERN LAKE  
COUNTY, BUT THAT IT.  
 
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS TO FOLLOW SHOULD BE MAINLY DRY. HOWEVER A  
COUPLE OF WEAK DISTURBANCES COULD BRING ISOLATED SHOWERS NORTH OF  
THE UMPQUA DIVIDE AND NORTHERN CASCADES WEDNESDAY MORNING, THEN  
AGAIN LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON. -PETRUCELLI  
 
 
   
AVIATION  
13/12Z TAFS..ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL  
PERSIST THIS MORNING, DECREASING IN COVERAGE WEST OF THE  
CASCADES THIS AFTERNOON, BUT CONTINUING INTO THIS EVENING  
FROM THE CASCADES EASTWARD. AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM IS ALSO  
POSSIBLE NEAR OR EAST OF THE WARNER MOUNTAINS THIS AFTERNOON.  
OVERALL, EXPECT A MIX OF MVFR/VFR CEILINGS WITH LOCAL IFR THIS  
MORNING, GRADUALLY BREAKING TO VFR MOST AREAS THIS AFTERNOON. EVEN  
SO, ANY STRONGER SHOWER COULD STILL BRING BRIEF MVFR CONDITIONS.  
 
AREAS OF IFR/MVFR ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE COAST THIS  
EVENING WITH VFR CONTINUING FOR INLAND AREAS. PATCH MVFR MAY ALSO  
DEVELOP INLAND OVERNIGHT. ISOLATED SHOWERS MAY ALSO RETURN TO  
THE COAST AND UMPQUA LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY WEDNESDAY. -SPILDE  
 
 
   
MARINE...UPDATED 900 AM WEDNESDAY, MAY 13, 2025  
STEEP SEAS  
ALONG WITH PERIODS OF RAIN WILL PERSIST THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.  
A PATTERN CHANGE WILL COME ON WEDNESDAY WITH THE RETURN OF A  
THERMAL TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED GUSTY NORTH WINDS AND WIND-DRIVEN  
SEAS THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. -SPILDE/HERMANSEN  
 
 
   
MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
OR...CA...NONE.  
 
PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 5 AM PDT  
WEDNESDAY FOR PZZ350-356-370-376.  
 
 
 
 
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