573  
FXUS66 KMFR 141556  
AFDMFR  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR  
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR  
856 AM PDT WED MAY 14 2025  
   
DISCUSSION  
SATELLITE IMAGE SHOWS CLOUDS MOVING IN FROM THE  
NORTHWEST, WITH A THICKER LAYER OF CLOUDS MAINLY ALONG AND NORTH  
OF THE UMPQUA DIVIDE AND COAST. RADAR IS SHOWING VERY LIGHT  
RETURNS AND THIS IN COMBINATION WITH A WEAK DISTURBANCE COULD  
RESULT IN A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE ABOVE MENTIONED AREAS.  
OTHERWISE, IT WILL BE DRY WITH MILDER TEMPERATURES IN THE  
AFTERNOON. CLOUD COVER WILL ALSO GRADUALLY DIMINISH THIS AFTERNOON  
AS WEAK RIDGING BUILDS IN.  
 
TONIGHT AND THURSDAY WILL BE DRY AND MILDER, THEN ANOTHER WEAK  
SHORTWAVE COULD BRING OFF/ON SHOWERS ALONG THE COAST AND NORTH OF  
THE UMPQUA DIVIDE. -PETRUCELLI  
 
 
   
AVIATION...4/12Z TAFS.  
MOSTLY A MIX OF VFR/MVFR OUT THERE THIS  
MORNING, EXCEPT AREAS OF HIGHER TERRAIN OBSCURED. SOME LIGHT  
RAIN/DRIZZLE AND LOCAL IFR IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST THIS MORNING.  
ISOLATED SHOWERS COULD ALSO AFFECT THE UMPQUA BASIN TODAY. CEILINGS  
MOSTLY LIFT TO VFR THIS AFTERNOON, WITH VFR PERSISTING INTO THIS  
EVENING. EXPECT MOSTLY VFR TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING, WITH  
SOME LOCAL MVFR CEILINGS NEAR THE TERRAIN WEST OF THE CASCADES.  
-SPILDE  
 
 
   
MARINE...UPDATED 900 AM WEDNESDAY, MAY 13, 2025  
A THERMAL  
TROUGH WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE COAST AND THIS WILL BRING A RETURN  
OF GUSTY NORTH WINDS, HIGHEST SOUTH OF CAPE BLANCO THIS AFTERNOON,  
PERSISTING THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY EVENING. STEEP SHORT PERIOD  
SEAS WILL DEVELOP, WITH CONDITIONS HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT,  
ESPECIALLY FROM GOLD BEACH SOUTHWARD. WAVE CONDITIONS IMPROVE A  
BIT FRIDAY, BUT LOW PRESSURE WILL BRING SHOWERS FRIDAY NIGHT INTO  
SATURDAY FOLLOWED BY INCREASING WEST-NORTHWEST SWELL THIS WEEKEND.  
-SPILDE/HERMANSEN  
 
 
   
MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
OR...NONE.  
 
CA...NONE.  
 
PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 2 PM THIS  
AFTERNOON TO 8 PM PDT THURSDAY FOR PZZ356-376.  
 
 
 
 
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