718  
FWUS46 KMFR 192301  
AVGMFR  
 
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR  
401 PM PDT MON MAY 19 2025  
 
   
..MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)
 
 
DATE TUESDAY 05/20/25 WEDNESDAY 05/21/25  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER CL CL CL CL FW CL CL FW FW SC FW FW FW CL FW SC SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 15 5 40 20 10 10 5 5 25 35  
TEMPERATURE 49 42 39 38 35 38 46 49 50 44 40 37 36 41 51 55 56  
MIN/MAX TEMP 34 52 35 58  
WIND DIR W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW SW W  
WIND (MPH) 10 13 16 17 18 18 17 13 10 9 8 8 8 5 5 8 10  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.4 7.7 6.4 6.0 5.6 5.8 6.7 7.4 7.8 7.7 7.4 7.2 6.9 7.2 8.0 8.6 9.3  
 
   
..MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)
 
 
DATE TUESDAY 05/20/25 WEDNESDAY 05/21/25  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER CL FW CL FW FW FW CL FW CL SC FW FW FW CL FW FW SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 5 5 5 5 5 0 10 5 45 20 10 10 5 5 25 30  
TEMPERATURE 50 44 39 37 35 38 46 51 52 45 40 38 36 43 53 57 58  
MIN/MAX TEMP 34 52 36 60  
WIND DIR NW NW NW NW N N NW NW NW NW N N N N N W W  
WIND (MPH) 11 10 12 13 13 14 13 10 10 8 5 5 5 4 4 5 8  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.3 7.6 6.3 5.9 5.5 5.6 6.4 7.0 7.7 7.6 7.4 7.1 6.9 7.1 8.0 8.6 9.3  
 
   
..MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)
 
 
DATE TUESDAY 05/20/25 WEDNESDAY 05/21/25  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER FW CL CL CL FW CL CL FW FW SC FW FW FW CL FW FW SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 15 5 40 25 10 10 5 5 25 35  
TEMPERATURE 49 41 39 37 35 38 44 49 49 43 40 38 36 42 51 55 56  
MIN/MAX TEMP 33 52 36 58  
WIND DIR W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N SW W  
WIND (MPH) 9 13 16 17 18 18 17 12 10 9 8 8 8 5 5 8 10  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.4 7.7 6.4 6.0 5.6 5.8 6.8 7.4 7.8 7.7 7.5 7.2 6.9 7.2 8.0 8.6 9.3  
 
   
..MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)
 
 
DATE TUESDAY 05/20/25 WEDNESDAY 05/21/25  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER FW FW CL FW FW CL CL FW FW SC FW FW FW CL CL SC SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 5 5 5 5 5 0 10 5 35 20 10 10 0 5 25 40  
TEMPERATURE 36 31 28 26 25 30 36 38 38 34 30 28 26 33 42 44 45  
MIN/MAX TEMP 24 39 26 47  
WIND DIR W W W W W NW NW NW W W W W W W W SW SW  
WIND (MPH) 25 29 32 33 34 34 33 27 23 20 16 14 14 12 12 13 17  
WIND GUST (MPH) 67 72 74 72 72 74 72 67 57 51 37 33 33 33 34 41 43  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.4 7.6 6.3 5.9 5.5 5.6 6.6 7.3 7.8 7.6 7.4 7.2 6.9 7.2 8.1 8.6 9.3  
 
   
..ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)
 
 
DATE TUESDAY 05/20/25 WEDNESDAY 05/21/25  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER CL FW CL FW FW CL FW FW CL SC FW FW FW FW FW FW SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 30 25 15 10 5 5 25 40  
TEMPERATURE 49 43 37 34 32 35 44 50 50 45 38 35 33 40 50 56 57  
MIN/MAX TEMP 31 51 33 58  
WIND DIR NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N N NE SE S SW  
WIND (MPH) 13 13 11 9 8 5 4 10 10 10 9 6 6 4 6 8 8  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.4 7.8 6.8 6.0 5.5 5.5 6.6 7.1 7.5 7.5 7.3 7.0 6.6 6.9 7.8 8.6 9.3  
 
   
..CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)
 
 
DATE TUESDAY 05/20/25 WEDNESDAY 05/21/25  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER CL CL CL FW FW FW CL FW CL SC FW FW FW CL CL FW SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 0 40 25 10 5 0 5 15 30  
TEMPERATURE 60 51 44 41 38 42 52 59 60 51 45 42 40 47 60 66 67  
MIN/MAX TEMP 37 62 40 69  
WIND DIR NW NW NW NW NW N N N NW NW NW NW NW N NE E SW  
WIND (MPH) 10 10 10 9 8 8 8 10 11 9 8 6 6 4 4 3 4  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.5 7.4 6.5 5.9 5.4 5.4 6.3 7.4 8.0 7.8 7.5 7.2 7.0 7.1 7.7 8.7 9.4  
 
   
..MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)
 
 
DATE TUESDAY 05/20/25 WEDNESDAY 05/21/25  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER FW CL FW FW FW FW CL FW CL SC FW FW FW CL FW FW SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 10 5 5 10 10 10 5 10 5 40 25 10 10 5 10 20 40  
TEMPERATURE 52 44 38 35 33 39 46 51 52 44 39 37 35 45 54 59 60  
MIN/MAX TEMP 33 53 35 61  
WIND DIR NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N NE N NW  
WIND (MPH) 9 10 9 8 9 8 8 9 9 10 9 6 6 4 4 3 5  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.5 7.5 6.7 5.9 5.4 5.4 6.3 7.4 7.9 7.7 7.4 7.1 6.8 7.0 8.0 8.6 9.2  
 
   
..WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)
 
 
DATE TUESDAY 05/20/25 WEDNESDAY 05/21/25  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER SC BK OV BK BK SC FW FW FW SC SC FW FW FW FW SC OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 45 65 70 65 60 40 10 10 10 35 30 20 10 10 20 45 75  
TEMPERATURE 40 37 32 29 27 28 35 40 42 37 30 29 28 35 47 51 50  
MIN/MAX TEMP 26 43 27 53  
WIND DIR W W W W W W W W W NW W E E SE SW SW SW  
WIND (MPH) 16 14 12 10 6 4 6 9 8 3 3 3 4 3 4 9 10  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 20 0 0 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20  
PRECIP TYPE S S R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.6 7.0 5.9 5.0 4.4 4.4 5.2 6.2 6.5 6.3 5.6 5.1 5.0 5.7 7.0 7.8 8.2  
 
   
..GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)
 
 
DATE TUESDAY 05/20/25 WEDNESDAY 05/21/25  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER SC BK OV BK BK SC FW FW FW SC SC FW FW FW FW SC OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 40 60 70 60 55 40 10 10 10 25 40 15 10 10 20 40 75  
TEMPERATURE 40 37 32 29 27 28 36 40 42 38 30 29 28 35 47 52 50  
MIN/MAX TEMP 26 43 28 54  
WIND DIR W W W W W NW W W W NW NW NE E SE S SW SW  
WIND (MPH) 16 14 12 9 6 4 6 9 9 6 4 3 4 4 4 9 10  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20  
PRECIP TYPE R S R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.6 7.1 6.0 5.0 4.5 4.5 5.3 6.2 6.6 6.4 5.5 5.1 5.0 5.7 7.1 7.9 8.3  
 
   
..BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)
 
 
DATE TUESDAY 05/20/25 WEDNESDAY 05/21/25  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER FW SC BK BK BK SC CL CL FW FW SC FW FW FW FW SC BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 25 45 65 60 65 40 5 0 10 15 30 25 10 10 15 30 60  
TEMPERATURE 49 44 37 34 33 34 42 48 50 44 35 33 32 38 53 58 57  
MIN/MAX TEMP 32 50 31 61  
WIND DIR W W W W W W W W W NW N NE NE NE S W W  
WIND (MPH) 13 11 8 6 4 4 8 9 9 5 3 5 6 4 3 8 8  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10  
PRECIP TYPE  
6 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.7 7.1 6.3 5.5 5.0 4.8 5.6 6.4 6.7 6.5 6.0 5.6 5.4 5.9 7.2 8.0 8.3  
 
   
..MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)
 
 
DATE TUESDAY 05/20/25 WEDNESDAY 05/21/25  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER SC BK OV BK BK SC FW FW FW SC SC FW FW FW FW SC OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 45 65 75 65 60 45 20 20 20 40 35 25 15 10 15 40 75  
TEMPERATURE 41 37 33 31 29 30 36 40 41 38 31 30 30 37 49 52 50  
MIN/MAX TEMP 29 43 29 53  
WIND DIR W W W W W W W W NW NW N E E E SW W W  
WIND (MPH) 13 11 9 8 5 4 5 8 8 5 2 3 4 2 4 8 9  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 30 5 5 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20  
PRECIP TYPE R S R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.5 6.9 5.9 5.1 4.6 4.5 5.3 6.1 6.5 6.2 5.6 5.1 5.0 5.7 7.0 7.8 8.2  
 
   
..MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)
 
 
DATE TUESDAY 05/20/25 WEDNESDAY 05/21/25  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER SC OV OV OV BK BK SC SC SC SC SC SC FW FW FW SC OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 50 70 75 75 60 50 30 25 25 45 40 30 15 15 20 45 80  
TEMPERATURE 40 36 32 30 28 29 35 39 40 37 30 29 28 37 49 52 50  
MIN/MAX TEMP 27 42 28 53  
WIND DIR W W W W W W NW W NW NW N SE SE SE W W W  
WIND (MPH) 12 10 8 6 4 4 4 8 6 4 2 3 3 2 4 8 9  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 30 5 5 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 20  
PRECIP TYPE R S R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.3 6.7 5.7 4.8 4.4 4.4 5.2 6.0 6.4 6.1 5.5 5.0 4.9 5.5 6.8 7.7 8.1  
 
   
..MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)
 
 
DATE TUESDAY 05/20/25 WEDNESDAY 05/21/25  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER FW SC SC SC BK SC FW CL CL SC SC FW FW CL FW SC BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 25 25 40 35 55 35 5 5 5 30 45 20 10 5 15 40 60  
TEMPERATURE 46 40 36 34 32 34 40 44 43 39 36 35 33 40 51 55 53  
MIN/MAX TEMP 32 45 33 56  
WIND DIR NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N SE SE E NW NW  
WIND (MPH) 11 10 9 8 6 4 5 10 12 9 5 3 3 3 3 5 11  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5  
PRECIP TYPE  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.7 6.8 6.0 5.4 4.9 4.7 5.6 6.4 6.7 6.6 6.1 5.8 5.8 6.0 7.3 8.0 8.3  
 

 
 
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---  
 
CODE TYPE  
T THUNDERSTORMS  
R RAIN  
S SNOW  
I SLEET  
Z FREEZING RAIN  
 
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