214
FNUS76 KMFR 092304
FWSMFR
SPOT FORECAST FOR NEIL CREEK - GRIZZLY COMPLEX...CAL FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
404 PM PDT WED JUL 9 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0500 PDT ON JULY 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
HOTTEST, DRIEST, BREEZIEST PART OF THE DAY FROM NOW
THROUGH ABOUT 1800. TEMPS DROP AFTER 1800 AND HUMIDITY CREEPS UPWARD,
BUT BREEZES LINGER THROUGH 2000-2100. THIS IS PROBABLY THE WINDIEST
PM/EVE OF THE NEXT 3. EVEN SO, IT'LL REMAIN DRY WITH LOW RH EACH
AFTERNOON WITH FAIRLY TYPICAL UPVALLEY NW BREEZES THAT WILL LAST INTO
THE EARLY EVENING. HEAT INCREASES, ESPECIALLY THIS WEEKEND WITH TEMPS
PEAKING IN LOWER TRIPLE DIGITS. NIGHTTIME RH RECOVERIES WILL BE POOR
TO MODERATE. KEEP HYDRATED.
THE REST OF TODAY AND TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. AREAS OF SMOKE.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........LOW 90S THOUGH 1700, DROPPING TO MID 60S BY
MIDNIGHT, THEN A LOW AROUND 56.
HUMIDITY............15-20% THIS EVENING, RECOVERING TO AROUND 70
PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NW 5-10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH IN THE EVENING,
EASING TO 2-5 MPH AFTER 2100, THEN 0-3 MPH
OVERNIGHT.
WIND (20 FT)........NW 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH UNTIL 2000-2100,
EASING TO 4-7 MPH AFTER 2100, THEN 2-5 MPH
OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....N 15-25 MPH THIS EVENING, EASING TO 5-10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. AREAS OF SMOKE THROUGH THE DAY.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........21-25 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....N 0-3 MPH IN THE MORNING, BECOMING NW 2-5 MPH
AFTER 1100 UNTIL 1500, THEN 5-9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
18 MPH AFTER 1500.
WIND (20 FT)........N 1-4 MPH IN THE MORNING, BECOMING NW AND
INCREASING TO 3-7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 14 MPH
AFTER 1100 UNTIL 1500, THEN 8-14 MPH WITH GUSTS
TO 23 MPH AFTER 1500.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....N 10 MPH INCREASING TO NW 15-25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. AREAS OF SMOKE EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MAX HUMIDITY........78 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NW 5-9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 18 MPH THROUGH 2100,
EASING TO 1-4 MPH OVERNIGHT.
WIND (20 FT)........NW 8-14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 23 MPH THROUGH 2100,
EASING TO 4-8 MPH BY MIDNIGHT, THEN 2-5 MPH
OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NW 15-25 MPH IN THE EVENING, EASING TO 5-10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....93.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....N 0-3 MPH IN THE MORNING, BECOMING NW 2-5 MPH
AFTER 1100 UNTIL 1500, THEN 4-8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
17 MPH AFTER 1500.
WIND (20 FT)........N 1-4 MPH IN THE MORNING, BECOMING NW AND
INCREASING TO 3-7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 13 MPH
AFTER 1100 UNTIL 1500, THEN 8-13 MPH WITH GUSTS
TO 22 MPH AFTER 1500.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 MPH INCREASING TO NW 15-20 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
FORECASTER...SPILDE
REQUESTED BY...JAKE TRONCALE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2517702.0/MFR
.DELDT 07/10/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL BRIAN.CRAWFORD@FIRE.CA.GOV,MONTY.SMITH@FIRE.CA.GOV,JAKE.TRONCALE@FIRE.CA.GOV,PARK.NICHOLAS@FIRE.CA.GOV,JOSH.KERN@FIRE.CA.GOV
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