379
FNUS76 KMFR 100044
FWSMFR
SPOT FORECAST FOR ELK...ODF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
544 PM PDT WED JUL 9 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1800 PDT ON JULY 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
INSTABILITY AND GUSTY W-NW WINDS ARE RESULTING IN ACTIVE
FIRE BEHAVIOR THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING. TEMPS ARE DROPPING ALREADY AND RHS
ARE COMING UP, BUT IT'LL TAKE UNTIL AROUND 2000-2100 FOR WINDS TO EASE.
THIS IS PROBABLY THE WINDIEST PM/EVE OF THE NEXT 3. EVEN SO, IT'LL REMAIN
DRY WITH LOW RH EACH AFTERNOON AND FAIRLY TYPICAL WSW BREEZES THAT WILL
BECOME WNW DURING THE EVENING. HEAT INCREASES THIS WEEKEND WITH TEMPS
PEAKING IN MID 90S. NIGHTTIME RH RECOVERIES WILL BE MODERATE, BUT PERHAPS
POOR AT TIMES AT RIDGE LEVEL. KEEP HYDRATED.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. AREAS OF SMOKE.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.2 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........75-77, LOWERING TO UPPER 50S BY MIDNIGHT, THEN TO A
LOW AROUND 51.
HUMIDITY............27-31 PERCENT, RISING TO MID 40S BY MIDNIGHT, THEN
RECOVERING TO AROUND 65 PERCENT OVERNIGHT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WNW 5-9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 16 MPH EASING TO 2-5 MPH
AFTER 2100, THEN 1-3 MPH TOWARD MORNING.
WIND (20 FT)........WNW 8-14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 22 MPH UNTIL 2100 THIS
EVENING, EASING TO 4-8 MPH BY MIDNIGHT, 2-5 MPH
OVERNIGHT
MIXING HEIGHT.......8700 FT AGL LOWERING TO AROUND 500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NW 10-20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 5-10 MPH
OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TIME (PDT) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM
SKY COVER.......MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR
WEATHER COV.....AREAS AREAS AREAS AREAS
WEATHER TYPE....SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0
CHC OF LTNG (%).0 0 0 0
TEMP............76 66 60 54
RH..............29 43 55 68
20 FT WIND......W 11G22 NW 8G15 NW 6G10 NW 6G8
EYE LEVEL WIND..W 7G15 NW 4G9 NW 2G4 NW 2G3
MIX HGT (FT)....8700 2200 800 500
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 18 NW 15 N 11 N 8
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. AREAS OF SMOKE.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.1 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-22 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NW 1-3 MPH IN THE MORNING, BECOMING WSW 2-5 MPH
AFTER 1100 UNTIL 1500, THEN W 4-7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
14 MPH AFTER 1500.
WIND (20 FT)........NW 2-4 MPH IN THE MORNING, BECOMING WSW AND
INCREASING TO 3-6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 14 MPH
AFTER 1100 UNTIL 1500, THEN W 5-11 MPH WITH GUSTS
TO 19 MPH AFTER 1500.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 6 TO
8 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TIME (PDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY COVER.......CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR
WEATHER COV.....AREAS AREAS AREAS AREAS
WEATHER TYPE....SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0
CHC OF LTNG (%).0 0 0 0
TEMP............51 62 73 80
RH..............73 50 35 26
20 FT WIND......N 3G4 N 5G8 NW 6G11 W 8G15
EYE LEVEL WIND..N 1G2 N 1G2 NW 2G6 W 3G8
MIX HGT (FT)....300 2900 5900 7900
TRANSPORT WIND..N 7 N 5 NW 6 NW 7
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. AREAS OF SMOKE.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MAX HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WNW 3-7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 14 MPH THROUGH 2100,
EASING TO 1-4 MPH OVERNIGHT.
WIND (20 FT)........WNW 5-11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 19 MPH THROUGH 2100,
EASING TO 4-8 MPH BY MIDNIGHT, THEN 2-5 MPH
OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NNW 10-20 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TIME (PDT) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM
SKY COVER.......MCLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR
WEATHER COV.....AREAS AREAS AREAS AREAS
WEATHER TYPE....SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0
CHC OF LTNG (%).0 0 0 0
TEMP............80 71 65 57
RH..............28 45 55 67
20 FT WIND......NW 6G8 NW 7G11 N 9G14 N 7G11
EYE LEVEL WIND..NW 2G3 NW 3G4 N 3G5 N 3G4
MIX HGT (FT)....8200 2100 400 100
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 8 NW 13 N 14 N 13
FORECASTER...SPILDE
REQUESTED BY...BRAD SMITH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2517592.3/MFR
.DELDT 07/09/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL ORLFC@FIRENET.GOV
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