093  
FNUS76 KMFR 110057  
FWSMFR  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR ELK FIRE...ODF  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR  
557 PM PDT THU JUL 10 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 PDT ON JULY 11.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM SATURDAY TO 8 PM PDT  
MONDAY...  
   
DISCUSSION
 
DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY WITH  
WARMING TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE WEEKEND. EXPECT BREEZY NORTH TO  
NORTHWEST WINDS IN THE AFTERNOON THROUGH THE EVENING, ESPECIALLY  
BETWEEN 4 PM AND 10 PM. WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHTER THROUGH THE NIGHT  
AND INTO THE MORNINGS. IT WILL BECOME HOT AND DRY THROUGH  
THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK, WITH CONTINUED BREEZY AFTERNOON  
WINDS AND STEADILY WORSENING RECOVERIES. THERE ARE NO REASONABLE  
PRECIPITATION CHANCES IN THE FORECAST THROUGH MOST OF NEXT WEEK.  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. AREAS OF SMOKE THROUGH THE DAY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.  
MIN HUMIDITY........20 TO 25 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH INCREASING  
TO 7 TO 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 16  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......9600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 5 TO 10 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS AROUND 2 MPH.  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. SMOKE IN THE EVENING AND HAZE AND PATCHY  
SMOKE OVERNIGHT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.  
MAX HUMIDITY........50 TO 55 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 8 TO 11 MPH DECREASING TO 4 TO 6 MPH  
OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 14 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS UP TO 4 MPH.  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. AREAS OF SMOKE IN THE MORNING.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.  
MIN HUMIDITY........15 TO 20 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHWEST AROUND 8 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11700 FT AGL LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 6 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS AROUND 2 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 

 
FORECASTER...HERMANSEN  
REQUESTED BY...BRIAN REEL  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2517761.0/MFR  
.DELDT 07/10/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL BRIAN.J.REEL@ODF.OREGON.GOV  
 
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