515
FWUS46 KMFR 142301
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
401 PM PDT THU AUG 14 2025
..MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 08/15/25 SATURDAY 08/16/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL FW FW FW SC SC SC BK BK OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 0 0 5 0 5 0 5 5 10 5 20 30 40 40 60 70 75
TEMPERATURE 64 58 55 54 52 54 58 62 64 58 55 54 54 53 54 54 53
MIN/MAX TEMP 50 64 51 57
WIND DIR NW NW NW NW NW NW W SW SW W W W W W SW SW W
WIND (MPH) 9 6 6 6 5 4 4 5 12 6 11 9 9 8 8 6 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 10 10 40 40 40
PRECIP TYPE R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.9 11.6 11.4 11.4 11.7 11.7 12.1 12.4 12.7 12.6 12.1 12.3 12.3 12.3 12.4 12.5 12.5
..MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 08/15/25 SATURDAY 08/16/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL FW FW SC SC SC BK BK OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 0 0 0 0 5 0 5 0 5 5 20 30 40 40 60 70 75
TEMPERATURE 66 55 51 48 46 52 62 66 65 56 51 49 48 51 59 59 55
MIN/MAX TEMP 45 69 47 61
WIND DIR NW NW N N N N NW W W NW N N N N SW W NW
WIND (MPH) 11 9 6 5 4 3 5 9 11 6 9 6 6 5 5 5 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 10 10 40 40 40
PRECIP TYPE R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.8 11.4 11.4 11.4 11.7 11.7 12.1 12.3 12.6 12.5 12.1 12.3 12.3 12.3 12.4 12.5 12.5
..MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 08/15/25 SATURDAY 08/16/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL FW FW FW SC SC SC BK BK OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 0 0 5 0 5 0 5 5 5 5 20 30 40 35 55 65 75
TEMPERATURE 63 57 55 54 52 54 57 62 63 57 55 54 54 53 53 54 52
MIN/MAX TEMP 50 64 51 57
WIND DIR NW NW NW NW NW NW W SW SW W W W W W SW SW W
WIND (MPH) 8 6 6 6 5 4 4 5 12 6 12 9 9 8 8 6 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 10 10 40 40 40
PRECIP TYPE R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 12.0 11.7 11.4 11.3 11.7 11.7 12.0 12.4 12.6 12.5 12.1 12.3 12.3 12.3 12.4 12.5 12.5
..MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 08/15/25 SATURDAY 08/16/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER CL CL CL CL CL CL FW FW FW FW FW SC SC SC BK OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 0 0 5 0 0 0 5 5 10 15 25 35 50 40 60 70 75
TEMPERATURE 50 45 43 42 41 44 47 49 49 45 43 42 42 43 43 43 43
MIN/MAX TEMP 40 50 41 43
WIND DIR W W W W W W SW S SW S S SW SW SW S S SW
WIND (MPH) 12 10 11 11 10 9 8 9 17 12 18 16 14 13 13 13 13
WIND GUST (MPH) 34 33 36 33 31 31
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 10 10 40 40 40
PRECIP TYPE R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.8 11.5 11.4 11.4 11.7 11.7 12.1 12.5 12.7 12.6 12.2 12.3 12.3 12.3 12.4 12.5 12.5
..ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 08/15/25 SATURDAY 08/16/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER CL CL CL CL CL CL CL FW FW FW FW SC SC SC BK BK OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 0 5 0 0 0 5 10 20 5 20 30 45 45 55 70 70
TEMPERATURE 65 58 54 52 51 53 60 65 65 59 54 53 52 54 57 57 55
MIN/MAX TEMP 50 67 52 59
WIND DIR NW NW NW NW NW N N W W NW N NW NW N SW W NW
WIND (MPH) 13 16 14 11 8 5 3 3 12 13 11 8 6 5 5 6 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 5 5 40 40 40
PRECIP TYPE R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 12.3 11.5 11.1 11.3 11.5 11.6 11.9 12.4 12.7 12.5 12.1 12.3 12.3 12.2 12.3 12.6 12.6
..CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 08/15/25 SATURDAY 08/16/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER FW CL CL CL CL CL CL CL FW FW FW SC SC SC BK BK OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 10 5 0 5 5 0 0 0 20 5 20 25 35 40 60 65 80
TEMPERATURE 75 67 60 58 57 61 67 74 75 68 61 58 58 60 65 66 64
MIN/MAX TEMP 56 76 57 69
WIND DIR N NW NW N NW N N N NW NW NW NW NW N NW W W
WIND (MPH) 17 19 16 10 8 8 10 13 9 14 13 9 8 6 5 4 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 10 10 40 40 40
PRECIP TYPE R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 12.0 11.6 11.4 11.3 11.6 11.8 12.0 12.3 12.7 12.5 12.1 12.3 12.3 12.3 12.4 12.5 12.5
..MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 08/15/25 SATURDAY 08/16/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL FW FW SC SC BK BK BK OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 5 0 0 5 0 5 5 15 20 35 40 55 55 60 75 85
TEMPERATURE 68 58 55 54 53 58 61 66 67 59 56 54 54 58 57 58 56
MIN/MAX TEMP 51 68 52 60
WIND DIR N NW N N N N N NW NW N N N N N SW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 16 18 17 11 9 8 9 11 9 13 11 10 9 8 5 5 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 5 5 10 10 40 40 40
PRECIP TYPE R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.7 11.3 11.3 11.5 11.7 11.8 12.1 12.4 12.8 12.6 12.2 12.3 12.3 12.3 12.5 12.5 12.5
..WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 08/15/25 SATURDAY 08/16/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER CL FW FW FW FW FW FW SC SC BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 10 15 25 20 15 10 30 35 55 65 80 90 90 90 85 85
TEMPERATURE 62 55 50 49 48 50 57 59 60 56 53 52 51 50 49 51 53
MIN/MAX TEMP 47 62 49 53
WIND DIR W W W SW SW W W W W W W W SW W W W W
WIND (MPH) 13 11 10 10 9 9 6 11 9 10 11 10 9 6 5 6 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 20 20 60 60 60 60 20
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R T
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.13 0.08
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.6 10.8 11.7 11.8 12.0 12.2 12.3 12.5 12.4 12.1 12.3 12.6 12.6 12.4 12.1 11.6 11.3
..GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 08/15/25 SATURDAY 08/16/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER FW FW FW SC FW FW FW FW FW SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 10 15 25 15 10 10 15 20 45 60 75 85 90 90 85 80
TEMPERATURE 61 55 50 48 47 49 56 60 60 56 52 51 50 49 49 50 52
MIN/MAX TEMP 46 62 48 53
WIND DIR W W W W W W W W W NW W W W W W SW W
WIND (MPH) 13 12 10 9 9 9 5 11 10 11 11 10 9 6 5 5 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 20 20 60 60 60 60 30
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.11 0.16
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.6 10.8 11.6 11.8 11.9 12.2 12.2 12.5 12.4 12.1 12.2 12.5 12.5 12.4 12.1 11.7 11.5
..BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 08/15/25 SATURDAY 08/16/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER CL CL FW FW FW FW CL CL CL SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 5 5 10 10 10 5 5 5 35 60 75 80 75 85 85 80
TEMPERATURE 65 60 54 50 47 49 61 66 65 61 55 53 51 49 54 56 56
MIN/MAX TEMP 46 68 49 59
WIND DIR W W W W W W W W W W W W W W W W W
WIND (MPH) 13 10 8 4 3 3 8 11 8 10 8 6 5 4 4 5 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 0 0 10 10 50 50 50 50 30
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.08
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.5 10.8 11.6 11.7 11.8 12.1 12.1 12.2 12.3 12.2 12.3 12.3 12.3 12.2 12.4 12.0 11.8
..MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 08/15/25 SATURDAY 08/16/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER CL FW FW FW FW FW FW FW SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 10 15 15 15 20 20 20 40 60 75 80 85 85 90 85 85
TEMPERATURE 59 53 49 49 48 50 56 59 59 54 53 52 52 50 50 51 51
MIN/MAX TEMP 47 60 49 52
WIND DIR NW NW W SW SW W W W NW NW W SW SW SW W W W
WIND (MPH) 11 11 10 10 9 9 5 9 11 11 11 10 9 8 6 6 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 5 5 5 5 10 5 5 30 30 70 70 60 60 30
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.11 0.09
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.3 11.0 11.7 11.8 12.0 12.3 12.3 12.5 12.5 12.3 12.5 12.6 12.5 12.3 12.1 11.6 11.2
..MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 08/15/25 SATURDAY 08/16/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER CL FW FW FW FW FW SC SC BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 15 25 15 20 25 25 30 50 70 80 85 90 90 90 85 85
TEMPERATURE 59 53 49 48 47 50 56 59 59 54 53 52 52 51 50 52 52
MIN/MAX TEMP 47 60 50 52
WIND DIR W W W S S W W W NW W SW S SW SW W W W
WIND (MPH) 11 10 10 10 9 9 5 9 10 11 11 10 9 8 6 6 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 5 5 5 5 10 5 5 30 30 70 70 60 60 30
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.15 0.09
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.2 11.1 11.8 11.8 12.1 12.4 12.4 12.6 12.5 12.3 12.5 12.7 12.6 12.4 12.0 11.4 11.0
..MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 08/15/25 SATURDAY 08/16/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER CL CL CL FW FW FW FW FW FW SC BK BK BK OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 5 5 15 5 10 10 15 20 30 60 60 70 70 90 85 80
TEMPERATURE 62 55 52 52 51 54 59 63 61 54 54 54 54 54 53 54 53
MIN/MAX TEMP 50 64 53 55
WIND DIR NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N NW NW NW W N
WIND (MPH) 17 16 10 6 6 5 5 10 10 12 9 8 6 5 5 4 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 5 5 10 10 50 50 50 50 40
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.07
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.8 11.2 11.7 11.7 12.0 11.9 12.0 12.4 12.2 12.2 12.3 12.5 12.3 12.5 12.4 11.9 11.7
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page