295
FWUS46 KMFR 152301
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
401 PM PDT FRI AUG 15 2025
..MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 08/16/25 SUNDAY 08/17/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER FW FW FW FW SC SC BK OV OV BK BK BK BK BK BK BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 10 5 25 25 30 30 65 75 75 60 60 60 50 50 55 55 50
TEMPERATURE 64 59 55 55 54 54 55 56 54 51 52 53 53 52 51 55 56
MIN/MAX TEMP 51 58 51 56
WIND DIR W W W W W W SW SW SW W SW SW S S S S SW
WIND (MPH) 4 5 6 9 11 11 13 11 8 9 10 10 10 11 11 11 11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 5 5 10 10 50 50 40 40 40 40 30 30 30 30 20
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R T
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.46 0.19 0.13 0.04
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 12.4 12.3 12.0 12.2 12.5 12.6 12.6 12.9 13.0 12.9 12.6 12.2 11.9 11.7 11.3 10.8 11.2
..MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 08/16/25 SUNDAY 08/17/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER FW CL SC SC SC SC BK OV OV BK BK BK BK BK BK BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 5 25 25 35 35 65 75 75 60 60 55 50 50 55 55 50
TEMPERATURE 68 59 52 49 48 50 59 60 56 49 49 48 48 50 54 59 60
MIN/MAX TEMP 47 62 47 61
WIND DIR NW NW N N N N SW SW W NW W SW S S S S SW
WIND (MPH) 9 5 4 6 9 8 10 8 8 6 8 8 8 8 9 10 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 5 5 10 10 50 50 40 40 40 40 30 30 30 30 20
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R T
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.38 0.12 0.10 0.03
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 12.4 12.3 12.0 12.2 12.5 12.7 12.6 12.9 13.0 12.9 12.6 12.1 11.8 11.6 11.2 10.8 11.2
..MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 08/16/25 SUNDAY 08/17/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER FW FW FW FW SC SC BK OV OV BK BK BK BK BK BK BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 5 25 25 30 30 65 70 70 60 60 60 50 50 55 55 50
TEMPERATURE 64 59 55 55 53 54 54 56 54 50 52 53 53 51 50 54 56
MIN/MAX TEMP 51 58 50 56
WIND DIR W W W W W W SW SW SW W SW SW S S S S SW
WIND (MPH) 3 5 6 9 11 11 13 12 8 9 10 10 10 11 11 11 11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 5 5 10 10 50 50 40 40 40 40 30 30 30 30 20
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R T
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.39 0.23 0.13 0.04
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 12.4 12.2 12.0 12.1 12.4 12.6 12.6 12.8 12.9 12.9 12.6 12.2 11.9 11.7 11.3 10.8 11.1
..MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 08/16/25 SUNDAY 08/17/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER FW FW SC SC SC SC BK OV OV BK BK BK BK BK BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 15 10 25 25 35 35 65 75 75 60 60 55 50 50 60 60 50
TEMPERATURE 50 46 44 42 41 43 44 44 43 42 41 41 40 40 41 43 44
MIN/MAX TEMP 41 45 40 44
WIND DIR S S S SW SW SW SW S S SW SW SW SW SW SW S SW
WIND (MPH) 8 9 10 13 16 16 18 17 14 16 17 17 17 17 17 16 13
WIND GUST (MPH) 36 37 33 34
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 5 5 10 10 50 50 40 40 40 40 30 30 30 30 20
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R S S R R T
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.57 0.15 0.10 0.06
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 12.5 12.3 12.0 12.2 12.5 12.7 12.7 12.9 13.0 12.9 12.6 12.2 11.8 11.7 11.4 10.8 11.3
..ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 08/16/25 SUNDAY 08/17/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER CL FW FW SC FW SC BK OV OV BK BK BK BK SC BK BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 15 25 30 25 30 65 70 70 60 60 55 55 40 60 60 45
TEMPERATURE 67 61 54 53 52 53 56 59 56 53 52 53 53 52 52 57 58
MIN/MAX TEMP 52 60 52 59
WIND DIR NW NW NW N NW N SW S SW W SW SW S S S SW S
WIND (MPH) 9 10 8 6 9 9 11 12 9 8 6 8 6 9 9 12 12
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 0 5 10 10 50 50 40 40 30 30 20 20 40 40 20
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R T
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.33 0.19 0.05 0.06
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 12.5 12.2 11.8 12.0 12.4 12.5 12.5 12.6 12.7 12.9 12.7 12.4 12.1 11.8 11.4 11.0 11.1
..CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 08/16/25 SUNDAY 08/17/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER FW CL FW FW SC SC BK OV OV BK BK BK SC SC BK BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 10 5 25 25 30 30 65 70 75 60 60 55 50 50 55 55 50
TEMPERATURE 77 69 61 59 58 59 64 66 64 58 57 57 58 58 59 66 68
MIN/MAX TEMP 57 69 57 68
WIND DIR N NW NW NW NW N E S N NW NW NW NE S S S S
WIND (MPH) 13 13 10 6 5 4 3 6 9 4 4 2 2 3 5 9 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 5 5 10 10 50 50 40 40 30 30 30 30 30 30 20
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R T
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.44 0.26 0.08 0.03 0.14
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 12.5 12.2 12.0 12.2 12.5 12.7 12.6 12.9 13.1 13.0 12.6 12.1 11.9 11.4 11.0 10.7 11.1
..MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 08/16/25 SUNDAY 08/17/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER FW FW SC SC SC SC BK OV OV BK BK BK BK SC BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 10 25 30 25 35 35 70 80 85 70 60 55 55 45 60 60 50
TEMPERATURE 68 61 56 55 54 59 59 59 58 53 54 55 54 57 56 60 62
MIN/MAX TEMP 53 61 53 62
WIND DIR NW NW N N N N W SW NW NW N SE SE SE S S SW
WIND (MPH) 12 12 8 6 9 8 9 9 9 6 8 8 8 8 9 10 9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 5 5 20 20 50 50 40 40 30 30 20 20 30 30 30
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.47 0.17 0.03 0.04 0.06
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 12.6 12.4 12.1 12.4 12.6 12.8 12.7 13.1 13.0 12.9 12.4 11.8 11.7 11.2 11.0 10.8 11.5
..WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 08/16/25 SUNDAY 08/17/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER SC BK SC OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC SC SC SC BK BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 50 60 50 70 80 80 85 85 75 55 45 35 30 30 55 55 40
TEMPERATURE 61 57 53 52 52 51 51 53 56 53 51 49 47 48 54 58 60
MIN/MAX TEMP 49 56 47 61
WIND DIR W W W W W W W SW W W W W SW S S W W
WIND (MPH) 10 8 6 6 8 8 8 9 8 9 9 8 6 5 5 8 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 10 30 70 70 60 60 20 20 10 10 5 5 20 20 10
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R T T T T
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.01 0.14 0.15 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 12.6 12.4 12.4 12.8 12.9 12.8 12.4 12.1 11.7 11.4 10.5 9.9 9.7 9.9 10.3 10.9 11.0
..GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 08/16/25 SUNDAY 08/17/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER SC BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV BK SC SC SC SC BK BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 30 55 50 65 80 80 85 85 75 50 45 35 30 30 60 60 40
TEMPERATURE 61 57 52 51 51 49 50 53 55 53 50 49 47 47 53 58 60
MIN/MAX TEMP 48 56 47 60
WIND DIR W W W W W W W SW W W W W W S S SW W
WIND (MPH) 10 8 6 6 8 6 8 8 8 9 9 9 6 5 5 6 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 10 30 70 70 60 60 30 30 10 10 10 10 20 20 20
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R T T T
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.18 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.01
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 12.5 12.4 12.4 12.7 12.8 12.8 12.6 12.2 11.9 11.5 10.6 10.1 10.0 10.1 10.4 11.0 11.2
..BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 08/16/25 SUNDAY 08/17/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER FW BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV BK SC SC BK SC BK BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 20 50 55 65 70 70 80 90 70 55 50 50 55 40 60 60 50
TEMPERATURE 66 62 56 54 52 51 55 57 58 57 54 52 49 48 57 63 65
MIN/MAX TEMP 49 60 48 65
WIND DIR W W W W W W W W W W W W W SE SW W W
WIND (MPH) 11 8 4 4 3 3 4 6 4 5 2 2 1 2 4 5 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 10 20 50 50 60 60 30 30 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R T T T
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.16 0.03 0.01 0.00 0.03
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 12.3 12.3 12.3 12.7 12.7 12.8 12.9 12.5 12.3 12.0 11.3 10.7 10.7 10.5 10.7 10.9 11.1
..MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 08/16/25 SUNDAY 08/17/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER SC BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV BK BK SC SC SC BK BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 40 60 55 65 85 85 80 85 75 55 55 45 35 35 55 55 40
TEMPERATURE 60 55 53 52 52 51 51 53 54 51 51 50 48 49 54 58 59
MIN/MAX TEMP 49 55 48 60
WIND DIR W NW W W W W W W W NW NW W W SE S W W
WIND (MPH) 8 8 8 8 9 8 8 9 8 10 9 9 6 5 6 6 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 10 10 30 80 80 60 60 30 30 10 10 5 5 20 20 10
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R T T T
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.01 0.13 0.18 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.01
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 12.6 12.4 12.4 12.7 12.8 12.8 12.4 12.1 12.0 11.4 10.5 9.9 9.7 9.9 10.2 10.8 10.9
..MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 08/16/25 SUNDAY 08/17/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER SC BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV BK BK SC SC SC BK BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 45 60 55 65 90 90 85 85 75 55 55 40 30 30 55 55 35
TEMPERATURE 60 55 52 52 52 51 51 53 54 51 50 50 47 49 54 59 60
MIN/MAX TEMP 50 54 47 60
WIND DIR W W W W W W W W W NW NW W SW SE S W W
WIND (MPH) 6 8 8 8 9 8 8 8 8 9 9 8 6 5 5 5 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 10 10 30 80 80 60 60 30 30 10 10 5 5 20 20 10
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R T T
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.01 0.18 0.17 0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 12.7 12.4 12.5 12.8 12.9 12.7 12.2 11.9 11.9 11.2 10.3 9.5 9.4 9.6 10.0 10.7 10.8
..MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 08/16/25 SUNDAY 08/17/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER SC SC SC SC OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK SC BK BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 35 50 40 40 70 70 80 85 75 60 60 55 50 40 55 55 40
TEMPERATURE 63 56 54 54 54 54 54 56 55 50 53 54 53 53 55 60 60
MIN/MAX TEMP 52 58 50 61
WIND DIR NW NW NW NW NW NW W NW NW N N NE NE SE SE NW NW
WIND (MPH) 12 9 5 6 6 6 8 6 6 9 9 8 6 5 6 5 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 5 20 50 50 50 50 40 40 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R T T T
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.27 0.11 0.02 0.00 0.01
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 12.3 12.3 12.6 12.8 12.9 12.9 12.9 12.4 12.4 11.7 10.9 10.2 10.2 10.0 10.3 10.6 11.1
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN
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