463
FNUS76 KMFR 041738
FWSMFR
SPOT FORECAST FOR KELSEY PEAK...OREGON DEPARTMENT OF FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1038 AM PDT THU SEP 4 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1900 PDT ON SEPTEMBER 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
DRY AND WARM WEATHER CONTINUES TODAY AND ON FRIDAY.
SLIGHT CHANCES (10-15%) FOR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ARE IN
THE FORECAST FOR THIS EVENING, AS WELL AS ON FRIDAY EVENING.
ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE AS WELL. SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES
ARE EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND, WITH SLIGHT CHANCES OF AFTERNOON
AND EVENING ACTIVITY CONTINUING. COOL TEMPERATURES AND
WIDESPREAD SHOWER CHANCES ARE FORECAST FOR MONDAY AND INTO
AT LEAST MIDWEEK.
REST OF TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE (10-15%)
OF EARLY EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
PERIODS OF SMOKE POSSIBLE.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.15 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....65 TO 67 DEGREES.
MAX HUMIDITY........75 TO 78 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST AT 3 TO 5 MPH WITH EVENING GUSTS UP TO
8 MPH BECOMING EAST AT 1 TO 3 MPH EARLY
FRIDAY MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST AT 7 TO 9 MPH WITH EVENING GUSTS UP TO
12 MPH BECOMING EAST AT 2 TO 4 MPH EARLY
FRIDAY MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AT 7 TO 9 MPH BECOMING NORTH AT
3 TO 5 MPH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TIME (PDT) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......PC MC MC MC MC MC MC PC PC PC PC
WEATHER COV.....ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS
WEATHER TYPE....SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK
TSTM COV........SCH
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF LTNG (%).20 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 0
TEMP............85 76 71 70 70 69 68 68 67 65 66
RH..............55 64 71 70 70 72 72 72 77 75 77
20 FT WIND DIR..W W NW NW N N N N NE NE E
20 FT WIND SPD..5 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3
20 FT WIND GUST.12 9 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6
EYE LVL WND DIR.W NW NW NW N N N N N N N
EYE LVL WND SPD.2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
EYE LVL WND GST.3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.3 1.2 1.2 1.2 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW N N N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. PERIODS OF SMOKE POSSIBLE.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.15 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85 TO 88 DEGREES.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 TO 42 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST AT 1 TO 2 MPH BECOMING WEST AT 3 TO 5 MPH
WITH AFTERNOON GUSTS UP TO 8 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST AT 2 TO 4 MPH BECOMING WEST AT 7 TO 9 MPH
WITH AFTERNOON GUSTS UP TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AT 3 TO 5 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST AT
7 TO 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
TIME (PDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC
WEATHER COV.....ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS SCH
WEATHER TYPE....SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK RW
TSTM COV........ SCH
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10
CHC OF LTNG (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20
TEMP............66 65 69 72 78 81 83 86 87 88 87 84
RH..............77 77 72 67 54 50 50 44 40 37 41 46
20 FT WIND DIR..N N NE NE NE N N N W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 6 6 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 10 10 11 12
EYE LVL WND DIR.N N NE NE NE N N N W W W W
EYE LVL WND SPD.1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2
EYE LVL WND GST.2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 4 4 4 4
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 0.9 1.5 1.5 1.5 2.8 2.8 2.8 5.1 5.1 5.1 3.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N NE NE NE NE NE NE W W NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 8 8 8 9
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCES (10-15%) OF
EARLY EVENING THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.15 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60 TO 63 DEGREES.
MAX HUMIDITY........80 TO 83 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST AT 4 TO 6 MPH WITH EVENING GUSTS UP TO
8 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST AT 2 TO 4 MPH EARLY
SATURDAY MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST AT 8 TO 10 MPH WITH EVENING GUSTS UP TO
13 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST AT 3 TO 5 MPH EARLY
SATURDAY MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AT 5 TO 8 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
TIME (PDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 0
CHC OF LTNG (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 10
TEMP............80 74 69 65 63 62 61 61 60 60 60 61
RH..............56 67 77 81 82 82 82 82 82 82 82 82
20 FT WIND DIR..W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5
EYE LVL WND DIR.W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
EYE LVL WND SPD.2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
EYE LVL WND GST.4 4 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.0 3.0 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W NW NW NW W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 10 7 7 7 6 6 6 5 5 5 3
FORECASTER...DALDRUP
REQUESTED BY...CURT SNOW
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2521317.0/MFR
.DELDT 09/04/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL CURTIS.J.SNOW@ODF.OREGON.GOV
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