817  
FNUS76 KMFR 090255  
FWSMFR  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR KELSEY PEAK FIRE...ODF IMT 1  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR  
755 PM PDT MON SEP 8 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 PDT ON SEPTEMBER 09.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
THE RAIN INTENSITY AND THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL WILL  
DECREASE LATE MONDAY NIGHT, WITH LIGHTER SHOWERS EXPECTED DURING  
TUESDAY MORNING. ANOTHER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL RESUME ON  
TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING, WITH ANY STORMS BEING SLOWER  
MOVING AND GENERALLY WEAKER THAN THOSE FROM MONDAY. CONDITIONS  
TREND GRADUALLY WARMER AND DRIER WEDNESDAY INTO SATURDAY BEFORE  
ANOTHER LOW APPROACHES THE REGION ON SUNDAY.  
 
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS, WITH  
A CHANCE OF MAINLY AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS.  
NEW PRECIPITATION OF AROUND 0.30 INCHES.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.33 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.  
MIN HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH UP TO 3 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 4 MPH.  
CWR.................80 PERCENT.  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF EVENING THUNDERSTORMS.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.15 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.  
MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 2 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 8 MPH.  
CWR.................20 PERCENT.  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF RAIN SHOWERS.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.5 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.  
MIN HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH UP TO 3 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO 5 TO 8 MPH  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 9 MPH.  
CWR.................15 PERCENT DECREASING TO 5 PERCENT LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
 
FORECASTER...WEYGAND  
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS POST  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2521605.0/MFR  
.DELDT 09/08/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL CHRIS.POST@FIRE.CA.GOV  
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