259
FWUS46 KMFR 172301
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
401 PM PDT WED SEP 17 2025
..MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 09/18/25 FRIDAY 09/19/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER CL CL FW FW SC SC SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 5 5 5 30 30 30 60 75 75 75 75 80 70 60 65 75
TEMPERATURE 64 57 55 54 54 54 62 64 63 56 55 53 53 53 56 57 55
MIN/MAX TEMP 52 66 52 59
WIND DIR S SW E E SE SE S N SW SW SE SE S S S S S
WIND (MPH) 4 9 12 12 11 12 12 9 8 4 9 17 4 4 4 4 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20 40
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.03
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.0 10.5 10.4 10.5 11.2 11.5 11.7 11.7 11.3 11.8 12.0 11.9 11.8 11.8 11.8 12.0 12.1
..MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 09/18/25 FRIDAY 09/19/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER FW CL CL CL SC SC SC BK OV OV BK OV OV BK BK BK OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 5 5 5 25 25 25 60 75 75 70 70 80 70 55 60 75
TEMPERATURE 67 54 51 49 48 51 65 68 65 53 51 49 48 51 60 61 57
MIN/MAX TEMP 47 70 48 63
WIND DIR SW NW N NE NE E S N SW W S S SE SE S S S
WIND (MPH) 4 6 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 5 9 3 3 4 5 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20 40
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.0 10.5 10.4 10.4 11.0 11.4 11.7 11.6 11.3 11.7 12.0 11.9 11.8 11.8 11.8 12.0 12.1
..MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 09/18/25 FRIDAY 09/19/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER CL CL FW FW SC SC SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 5 5 5 25 30 30 65 75 75 75 75 80 70 55 65 75
TEMPERATURE 64 57 55 54 54 54 60 64 63 56 55 53 52 53 54 57 55
MIN/MAX TEMP 52 66 52 59
WIND DIR S SW E E E SE S N SW SW SE SE S S S S S
WIND (MPH) 4 9 12 12 12 12 12 9 9 5 8 16 4 4 4 4 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20 40
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.03
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.0 10.4 10.4 10.5 11.2 11.5 11.7 11.7 11.3 11.8 12.0 11.9 11.8 11.8 11.8 12.0 12.1
..MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 09/18/25 FRIDAY 09/19/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER CL CL FW CL SC FW SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 5 5 5 25 25 35 65 75 75 70 70 80 70 60 65 80
TEMPERATURE 52 45 43 42 42 44 51 52 51 44 44 42 41 43 45 45 44
MIN/MAX TEMP 41 53 41 46
WIND DIR SE SE S S S S S N S S E NE S S S S S
WIND (MPH) 10 14 19 21 20 21 21 12 14 11 16 14 5 6 5 5 5
WIND GUST (MPH) 27 39 42 47 44 34 35
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20 40
PRECIP TYPE R R S S S R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.2 10.6 10.4 10.5 11.1 11.4 11.6 11.7 11.5 11.8 12.0 11.9 11.8 11.8 11.8 12.0 12.2
..ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 09/18/25 FRIDAY 09/19/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER CL CL FW FW FW FW SC BK BK OV OV OV OV OV BK BK OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 5 5 10 20 25 35 60 70 80 70 75 80 70 55 60 80
TEMPERATURE 68 60 55 53 53 54 63 68 66 60 56 55 53 54 57 62 60
MIN/MAX TEMP 53 69 53 62
WIND DIR SW NW NW N E E S N SW W SW S SW S S S SW
WIND (MPH) 6 5 8 9 9 9 10 10 12 13 5 10 5 5 5 5 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20 30
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.04
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.0 10.8 10.8 10.8 11.5 11.7 11.9 11.9 11.6 11.9 12.0 11.9 11.8 11.8 11.8 12.0 12.2
..CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 09/18/25 FRIDAY 09/19/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER CL CL FW CL FW FW FW BK BK OV BK BK OV BK BK BK OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 5 5 5 20 20 25 50 70 70 65 65 80 70 55 60 70
TEMPERATURE 76 64 61 60 60 62 71 76 74 63 61 60 58 62 66 68 66
MIN/MAX TEMP 59 78 58 70
WIND DIR S N N N N N NE S S S S SW S S S S S
WIND (MPH) 6 5 5 4 3 3 4 8 13 8 5 3 2 2 3 3 3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20 30
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.0 10.6 10.2 10.2 10.6 11.3 11.5 11.4 11.3 11.8 11.8 11.9 11.8 11.8 11.8 11.9 12.1
..MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 09/18/25 FRIDAY 09/19/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER CL CL CL CL FW SC FW BK BK OV BK OV OV BK BK BK OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 5 5 5 20 30 25 55 70 75 60 70 75 70 55 60 75
TEMPERATURE 70 58 55 53 52 58 64 69 68 58 57 55 54 58 60 63 61
MIN/MAX TEMP 51 70 53 63
WIND DIR NW N N NE NE NE SE N S NW S S S S S S S
WIND (MPH) 4 10 9 9 8 9 9 6 10 9 5 11 3 3 3 3 3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20 40
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R T R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.4 10.8 10.2 10.1 10.5 10.9 11.5 11.5 11.5 11.8 11.8 11.8 11.9 11.8 11.8 12.0 12.1
..WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 09/18/25 FRIDAY 09/19/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER FW FW CL CL FW FW FW SC SC BK BK BK BK BK SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 5 5 0 5 10 15 25 40 65 70 60 65 55 40 45 45
TEMPERATURE 67 56 54 51 50 51 63 67 67 58 55 54 52 54 63 65 65
MIN/MAX TEMP 49 69 52 67
WIND DIR NW N NE NE NE E E N NW N NE N E SE SW W W
WIND (MPH) 8 5 6 6 6 6 8 6 6 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 5
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.5 11.3 11.2 10.9 10.6 10.4 10.7 11.3 11.4 11.4 11.5 11.9 11.4 11.6 11.6 11.8 11.9
..GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 09/18/25 FRIDAY 09/19/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER CL FW CL CL CL FW FW SC SC BK BK BK BK BK SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 5 5 5 5 10 20 30 45 65 70 65 65 55 40 45 50
TEMPERATURE 66 57 52 50 49 50 61 67 66 58 54 53 51 52 61 65 64
MIN/MAX TEMP 48 69 51 66
WIND DIR NW N NE NE NE NE E N NW NW N N NE SE SW W W
WIND (MPH) 8 5 8 6 6 8 9 4 6 4 4 4 3 3 3 4 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.5 11.3 11.2 10.9 10.6 10.5 10.8 11.4 11.5 11.5 11.9 11.9 11.6 11.6 11.6 11.8 12.0
..BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 09/18/25 FRIDAY 09/19/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER CL CL CL CL CL FW FW SC SC BK BK BK OV BK SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 5 5 5 0 15 20 50 50 60 65 65 70 55 45 50 50
TEMPERATURE 70 60 54 50 48 47 63 69 68 60 55 52 51 51 63 67 67
MIN/MAX TEMP 47 71 50 69
WIND DIR NW NW N E E E SE W W W NW NW E SE SW W W
WIND (MPH) 9 6 3 4 4 6 2 8 10 5 5 4 2 3 2 3 3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 0 0 0 0 5 5 10 10 10
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.1 11.3 11.1 10.6 10.4 10.6 10.9 11.2 11.5 11.8 12.1 11.9 11.8 11.7 11.7 11.9 12.0
..MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 09/18/25 FRIDAY 09/19/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER CL FW CL CL CL FW FW SC SC BK BK BK BK BK SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 10 5 0 5 10 10 40 40 60 65 50 65 55 40 45 45
TEMPERATURE 64 55 52 51 49 51 60 64 63 56 54 54 53 54 61 64 62
MIN/MAX TEMP 49 65 53 64
WIND DIR NW NW N NE NE E N N NW NW NE NW E SE W W W
WIND (MPH) 9 5 6 5 6 6 8 6 6 4 3 4 3 3 3 4 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 5
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.4 11.4 11.2 10.9 10.6 10.4 10.6 11.1 11.4 11.6 11.6 11.8 11.6 11.6 11.6 11.8 11.9
..MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 09/18/25 FRIDAY 09/19/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER CL FW CL CL FW FW CL SC SC BK BK SC BK BK SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 10 5 0 5 5 5 35 35 60 65 45 60 55 35 40 40
TEMPERATURE 64 54 52 51 49 51 61 65 64 56 54 54 53 54 62 65 63
MIN/MAX TEMP 49 66 53 65
WIND DIR NW N NE E E E NE N NW N NE NW E SE W W W
WIND (MPH) 9 6 6 5 5 5 6 6 5 4 2 4 3 3 2 3 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 5
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.5 11.5 11.2 11.0 10.7 10.4 10.5 11.1 11.4 11.6 11.4 11.7 11.5 11.5 11.5 11.7 11.8
..MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 09/18/25 FRIDAY 09/19/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER FW CL FW CL FW SC FW SC BK BK BK BK OV BK SC BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 5 5 5 10 35 20 35 55 65 65 60 75 55 35 50 55
TEMPERATURE 65 54 54 53 51 52 59 64 62 54 54 54 53 55 61 64 62
MIN/MAX TEMP 51 65 53 65
WIND DIR N N N NE NE NE NE N N N N N SE SE SW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 10 8 6 9 6 6 8 4 8 5 6 4 4 4 2 2 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 0 0 0 0 5 5 10 10 20
PRECIP TYPE R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.0 11.3 10.8 10.4 10.2 10.1 10.3 11.0 11.2 11.9 12.0 11.9 11.9 11.8 11.7 11.9 12.0
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN
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