142  
FNUS76 KMFR 080231  
FWSMFR  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR RICKEY BURN...SHASTA VALLEY RCD  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR  
731 PM PDT TUE OCT 7 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PDT ON OCTOBER 08.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
A DRY FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST ON WEDNESDAY AND WINDS WILL  
INCREASE OUT OF THE SOUTH, BECOMING BREEZY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.  
EXPECT A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR RAIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT, THEN INCREASING  
CHANCES THURSDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW NEARS THE REGION. WINDS  
WILL TREND STRONGER ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON AS WELL. TEMPERATURES  
WILL TREND LOWER AND HUMIDITIES HIGHER ON THURSDAY. THEN, A WET,  
COOL AND BREEZY TO GUSTY PATTERN IS EXPECTED FRIDAY INTO THE  
WEEKEND AS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVES INTO THE AREA.  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.  
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....VARIABLE WINDS 1 TO 3 BECOMING SOUTHWEST  
4 TO 6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE WINDS 3 TO 5 BECOMING SOUTHWEST  
8 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 INCREASING TO 20-25 MPH  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 3 AM.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.3 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 5 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 10 MPH  
BECOMING NORTH TO NORTHWEST 1 TO 2 MPH AFTER  
SUNSET.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 18 MPH  
BECOMING NORTH TO NORTHWEST 2 TO 5 MPH AFTER  
SUNSET.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15, BECOMING WEST TO NORTHWEST 6-8 MPH  
AROUND SUNSET.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.6 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.  
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 1 TO 2 BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 3 MPH  
IN THE MID MORNING, THEN SOUTH 3 TO 6 MPH  
WITH GUSTS TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 2 TO 5 BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH  
IN THE MID MORNING, THEN SOUTH 6 TO 12 MPH  
WITH GUSTS TO 18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH 15 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
 

 
FORECASTER...CLARSTROM  
REQUESTED BY...SAM COMMARTO  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2523146.0/MFR  
.DELDT 10/07/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL SCOMMARTO@GMAIL.COM  
 
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