936  
FNUS76 KMFR 080748  
FWSMFR  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR HAPPY VALLEY BURN...UMPQUA VALLEY PRESCRIBED BURN ASSOCIATION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR  
1248 AM PDT WED OCT 8 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0000 PDT ON OCTOBER 09.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE COAST OF CANADA WILL  
MOVE SOUTHWEST TO FAR OFFSHORE OF OREGON ON THURSDAY. IT WILL THEN  
MOVE EAST THURSDAY NIGHT, MOVING ACROSS THE SITE BY EARLY SATURDAY.  
ANOTHER LOW FROM THE NORTWEST WILL FOLLOW DURING EARLY NEXT WEEK.  
THESE LOWS WILL RESULT IN COOLER TEMPERATURES, PERIODS OF RAIN, AND  
PERHAPS A FEW EMBEDDED LIGHTNING STRIKES DURING FRIDAY AND MONDAY.  
 
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-50 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.  
MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 4 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT) BECOMING MOSTLY  
CLOUDY LATE (50-65 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY  
IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.  
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 2 TO 4 MPH EARLY  
IN THE AFTERNOON THEN NORTHWEST 2 MPH LATE.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT SOUTH WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH  
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON THEN NORTHWEST 5 MPH LATE.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING NORTH 5 MPH LATE.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS IN THE EVENING, THEN RAIN LIKELY AFTER  
5 AM. RAIN OF AROUND 0.05 INCHES.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS AROUND 2 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING  
LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH.  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-100 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG IN  
THE MORNING. RAIN LIKELY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN OF  
AROUND 0.10 INCHES.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.  
MIN HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 2 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH.  
CWR.................55 PERCENT.  
 

 
FORECASTER...WEYGAND  
REQUESTED BY...CSANYI MATUSICKY  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2523149.0/MFR  
.DELDT 10/08/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL SISOUER.RESTORATION@GMAIL.COM  
 
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