100  
FWUS46 KMFR 290921  
AVGMFR  
 
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR  
221 AM PDT WED OCT 29 2025  
 
   
..MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)  
 
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/29/25 THURSDAY 10/30/25  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER SC BK FW FW FW FW FW FW FW SC BK OV BK FW FW FW FW  
CLOUD COVER (%) 35 50 15 5 20 10 10 10 20 30 65 70 70 25 10 10 15  
TEMPERATURE 42 40 47 50 48 42 43 44 43 42 47 47 46 40 40 39 39  
MAX/MIN TEMP 51 41 49 37  
WIND DIR NW NW NW E E E E N N N NW NW NW NW N NW NW  
WIND (MPH) 13 10 3 2 8 5 3 5 8 8 8 9 11 2 1 1 1  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.5 8.7 8.6 8.9 8.9 8.4 8.4 8.5 8.5 8.5 8.6 8.6 8.8 8.7 8.5 8.5 8.5  
 
   
..MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)  
 
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/29/25 THURSDAY 10/30/25  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER SC SC FW FW FW FW CL FW FW SC BK OV BK FW FW FW FW  
CLOUD COVER (%) 30 50 15 10 20 5 5 5 20 30 70 70 65 20 10 10 15  
TEMPERATURE 36 36 48 51 47 38 37 37 37 37 49 49 45 36 35 34 34  
MAX/MIN TEMP 51 35 50 32  
WIND DIR N S SW S E SE E E E E SE SE NE N E N NW  
WIND (MPH) 3 2 2 3 4 6 6 8 6 6 4 2 1 2 2 1 1  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.5 8.8 8.5 8.7 8.9 8.4 8.4 8.5 8.5 8.5 8.6 8.6 8.8 8.7 8.6 8.5 8.6  
 
   
..MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)  
 
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/29/25 THURSDAY 10/30/25  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER SC BK FW FW FW FW FW FW FW SC BK OV BK FW FW FW FW  
CLOUD COVER (%) 35 55 15 5 20 10 10 10 20 30 65 70 70 25 10 10 15  
TEMPERATURE 42 41 45 48 48 42 43 44 43 42 46 47 45 40 40 39 39  
MAX/MIN TEMP 50 41 48 37  
WIND DIR NW N N NE NE NE NE NW NW NW W W NW NW NE W W  
WIND (MPH) 10 6 3 4 8 6 3 5 6 8 8 9 10 2 1 2 1  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.5 8.7 8.6 8.9 8.8 8.4 8.4 8.6 8.5 8.6 8.6 8.6 8.8 8.7 8.6 8.5 8.5  
 
   
..MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)  
 
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/29/25 THURSDAY 10/30/25  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER SC BK FW FW FW FW FW FW FW SC BK OV OV FW FW FW FW  
CLOUD COVER (%) 35 55 15 10 20 10 5 5 20 30 65 70 70 25 10 10 20  
TEMPERATURE 33 33 38 40 38 34 34 34 34 33 39 38 36 30 31 30 30  
MAX/MIN TEMP 41 32 39 28  
WIND DIR NW NW NW N SE SE SE SE NW NW N N NW NW NW W W  
WIND (MPH) 10 12 8 2 3 5 9 8 6 6 8 8 8 1 1 1 2  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.5 8.7 8.6 9.0 9.1 8.5 8.4 8.5 8.5 8.5 8.6 8.7 8.8 8.6 8.4 8.5 8.5  
 
   
..ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)  
 
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/29/25 THURSDAY 10/30/25  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER SC BK FW FW FW FW CL FW FW SC BK BK BK FW FW FW FW  
CLOUD COVER (%) 45 55 25 5 15 5 5 10 20 35 70 70 70 20 10 10 20  
TEMPERATURE 40 38 44 48 47 41 40 40 40 39 45 48 47 41 38 38 38  
MAX/MIN TEMP 49 39 49 37  
WIND DIR NW NW NE NE NE NE E SE SE S S SW SW NW NE NW NW  
WIND (MPH) 8 6 1 4 4 5 4 8 6 6 6 6 5 3 3 2 3  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.6 8.6 8.6 8.6 8.6 8.4 8.5 8.5 8.5 8.6 8.6 8.6 8.8 8.7 8.7 8.4 8.4  
 
   
..CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)  
 
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/29/25 THURSDAY 10/30/25  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER SC SC FW FW FW FW FW FW SC SC BK BK BK FW FW FW FW  
CLOUD COVER (%) 35 40 20 5 15 5 5 10 30 30 65 70 60 15 10 5 15  
TEMPERATURE 46 45 51 56 54 47 48 47 47 47 53 55 53 46 46 44 44  
MAX/MIN TEMP 58 46 57 42  
WIND DIR N NE N N N W SE SE SE SE SE S SW NW NW NW NW  
WIND (MPH) 8 8 4 4 2 2 3 5 6 5 3 3 2 6 9 8 9  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.5 8.8 8.6 8.4 8.4 8.4 8.4 8.6 8.7 8.5 8.5 8.6 8.7 8.7 8.6 8.6 8.7  
 
   
..MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)  
 
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/29/25 THURSDAY 10/30/25  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER SC BK FW FW FW FW FW FW SC SC BK BK BK FW FW FW FW  
CLOUD COVER (%) 45 55 20 5 20 10 5 10 25 35 60 65 70 20 10 10 20  
TEMPERATURE 41 42 48 51 49 43 42 43 43 45 50 51 49 42 40 39 39  
MAX/MIN TEMP 52 40 52 36  
WIND DIR NW NW N E SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S NW NW NW NW  
WIND (MPH) 12 8 1 2 3 4 6 8 8 8 6 5 2 6 6 5 8  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.4 8.9 8.5 8.5 8.6 8.4 8.4 8.5 8.6 8.5 8.5 8.6 8.8 8.7 8.5 8.5 8.6  
 
   
..WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)  
 
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/29/25 THURSDAY 10/30/25  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV SC FW FW SC SC SC SC BK OV OV SC SC SC SC BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 85 50 25 15 35 30 30 35 55 80 80 50 30 35 30 60  
TEMPERATURE 39 37 40 44 44 38 37 37 36 37 44 48 46 38 36 35 35  
MAX/MIN TEMP 46 35 49 33  
WIND DIR W W SE E E E SE SE SE S S W W W SW W W  
WIND (MPH) 10 4 1 3 10 12 9 9 8 6 5 8 8 6 3 3 3  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.8 8.1 7.5 7.6 7.4 7.5 7.6 7.7 7.8 7.9 8.0 8.0 8.0 7.9 7.7 7.7 7.8  
 
   
..GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)  
 
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/29/25 THURSDAY 10/30/25  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV BK FW FW SC SC SC SC BK OV OV BK SC SC SC BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 80 60 25 15 40 25 30 35 55 80 80 55 30 35 30 60  
TEMPERATURE 38 36 39 43 43 37 35 35 35 34 42 46 45 37 35 33 34  
MAX/MIN TEMP 45 34 48 32  
WIND DIR W W SE E E E SE SE SE SE S W W W W W W  
WIND (MPH) 11 6 1 3 8 8 10 10 9 8 5 5 6 6 1 3 4  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.8 8.1 7.6 7.6 7.5 7.6 7.7 7.7 7.9 7.9 8.0 8.0 8.0 7.9 7.7 7.7 7.8  
 
   
..BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)  
 
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/29/25 THURSDAY 10/30/25  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV SC SC FW FW FW FW SC SC OV OV BK FW SC SC SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 80 45 35 25 20 20 20 25 45 75 80 55 20 25 25 45  
TEMPERATURE 39 39 43 49 49 41 39 38 36 35 44 50 49 40 37 36 35  
MAX/MIN TEMP 51 35 52 34  
WIND DIR W W E E E E E E E E E W W W W W SW  
WIND (MPH) 8 3 3 5 8 9 8 8 8 6 4 3 6 6 3 3 2  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.6 8.3 7.9 7.9 7.9 7.9 8.0 8.0 8.0 8.0 7.9 8.0 8.2 8.0 7.8 7.9 7.9  
 
   
..MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)  
 
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/29/25 THURSDAY 10/30/25  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV SC FW FW SC FW FW SC SC OV OV SC SC SC SC BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 80 45 20 20 30 25 25 35 50 75 80 45 30 30 25 60  
TEMPERATURE 39 39 39 44 43 39 38 39 38 38 44 47 45 39 37 36 36  
MAX/MIN TEMP 45 37 49 35  
WIND DIR W W E E E SE SE SE SE SE S SW W W SW SW SW  
WIND (MPH) 9 3 3 3 8 11 9 8 9 6 5 5 5 3 3 3 3  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.8 8.0 7.5 7.6 7.6 7.4 7.6 7.7 7.8 7.8 7.9 8.0 8.1 7.9 7.7 7.7 7.8  
 
   
..MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)  
 
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/29/25 THURSDAY 10/30/25  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV SC FW FW SC SC FW SC BK OV OV SC SC SC SC BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 85 40 10 15 30 25 25 35 50 75 80 45 30 35 30 65  
TEMPERATURE 38 38 39 44 43 38 38 38 38 37 44 48 46 39 36 36 36  
MAX/MIN TEMP 45 36 49 35  
WIND DIR W W E E SE SE SE SE SE SE S SW W W S SW SW  
WIND (MPH) 9 2 3 3 6 11 10 8 10 8 6 5 5 3 4 3 3  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5  
PRECIP TYPE R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.8 7.8 7.3 7.4 7.4 7.2 7.4 7.6 7.6 7.8 7.9 7.9 8.1 7.9 7.7 7.6 7.8  
 
   
..MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)  
 
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/29/25 THURSDAY 10/30/25  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV BK SC FW SC FW FW SC BK OV OV SC FW SC FW SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 75 60 30 25 25 25 25 35 65 75 75 35 20 30 20 45  
TEMPERATURE 41 41 42 46 45 42 43 45 44 44 47 48 46 39 39 39 39  
MAX/MIN TEMP 47 42 48 38  
WIND DIR NW NW SE E SE SE SE S S SW SW NW NW W W W W  
WIND (MPH) 10 5 4 4 6 11 11 11 9 6 4 3 5 4 2 2 2  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.6 8.3 7.8 7.8 7.9 8.0 8.2 8.2 8.2 7.9 8.0 8.2 8.2 8.1 7.9 8.1 8.3  
 
 
 
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---  
 
CODE TYPE  
T THUNDERSTORMS  
R RAIN  
S SNOW  
I SLEET  
Z FREEZING RAIN  
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