005  
FNUS76 KMFR 041647  
FWSMFR  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR WREN ORCHARD RX...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR  
847 AM PST TUE NOV 4 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 PST ON NOVEMBER 05.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM PST  
WEDNESDAY...  
   
DISCUSSION
 
WINDS WON'T BE QUITE AS STRONG WEDNESDAY (COMPARED TO  
TUE NIGHT), BUT STILL BREEZY WITH PERIODS OF RAIN AND/OR SHOWERS.  
AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM ALSO CANNOT BE RULED OUT. ONSHORE FLOW WILL  
MAINTAIN SHOWERS OVER THE AREA WED NIGHT/THU AM (BUT SHOULD GRADUALLY  
DIMINISH IN COVERAGE. THEN, ANOTHER FRONT WILL BRING SOME RAIN  
THURSDAY AFTERNOON/NIGHT. SHOWERS COULD LINGER INTO FRIDAY, BUT HIGH  
PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN THIS WEEKEND WITH DRIER CONDITIONS. EVEN SO,  
WE EXPECT SOME LATE LATE-NIGHT AND MORNING LOW CLOUDS/FOG FOLLOWING  
THIS WEEK'S RAINFALL.  
 
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY WITH PERIODS OF RAIN IN THE MORNING, THEN  
RAIN SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS  
IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN: 90 PERCENT.  
RAIN AMOUNT: 0.25-0.50".  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.18 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-53.  
MIN HUMIDITY........77-83 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....S-SE 2-5 MPH. GUSTS TO AROUND 9 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........S 6-11 MPH. GUSTS TO 18 MPH.  
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS POSSIBLE NEAR ANY  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....S 10-20 MPH.  
CWR.................79 PERCENT.  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF RAIN:  
90 PERCENT. RAIN AMOUNT: 0.15-0.30".  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.18 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-47.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....S-SE 0-2 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........S-SE 2-6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING,  
EASING TO 1-4 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS POSSIBLE  
IN ANY THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....S 10-15 MPH EASING TO 5-10 MPH.  
CWR.................79 PERCENT.  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. PERIODS OF RAIN. CHANCE OF RAIN: 90  
PERCENT. RAIN AMOUNT: 0.05-0.15".  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.4 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-53.  
MIN HUMIDITY........74-79 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....S-SW 1-4 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........S-SW 2-5 MPH. GUSTS TO 9 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....S 10 MPH.  
CWR.................51 PERCENT.  
 

 
FORECASTER...SPILDE  
REQUESTED BY...JULIANNE UPTON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2525077.0/MFR  
.DELDT 11/04/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JULIANNE.UPTON@USDA.GOV  
 
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