913
FNUS76 KMFR 041859
FWSMFR
SPOT FORECAST FOR ALVIN #36...UFSF UMPQUA NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1059 AM PST TUE NOV 4 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PST ON NOVEMBER 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
..HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7 AM PST WEDNESDAY
DISCUSSION
WINDS WON'T BE QUITE AS STRONG WEDNESDAY (COMPARED TO
TUE NIGHT), BUT STILL BREEZY WITH PERIODS OF RAIN AND/OR SHOWERS.
AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM ALSO CANNOT BE RULED OUT. ONSHORE FLOW WILL
MAINTAIN SHOWERS OVER THE AREA WED NIGHT/THU AM (BUT SHOULD GRADUALLY
DIMINISH IN COVERAGE. THEN, ANOTHER FRONT WILL BRING SOME RAIN
THURSDAY AFTERNOON/NIGHT. SHOWERS COULD LINGER INTO FRIDAY, BUT HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN THIS WEEKEND WITH DRIER CONDITIONS. EVEN SO,
WE EXPECT SOME LATE LATE-NIGHT AND MORNING LOW CLOUDS/FOG FOLLOWING
THIS WEEK'S RAINFALL.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY WITH PERIODS OF RAIN IN THE MORNING, THEN
RAIN SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN: 90 PERCENT.
RAIN AMOUNT: 0.30-0.60".
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.15 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MIN HUMIDITY........86-91 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....S-SE 3-7 MPH. GUSTS TO AROUND 14 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........S 10-15 MPH. GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS POSSIBLE NEAR ANY
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....S 20-25 MPH.
CWR.................92 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF RAIN:
90 PERCENT. RAIN AMOUNT: 0.20-0.40".
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SE 1-4 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........SE 5-8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 17 MPH IN THE EVENING,
EASING TO 1-4 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS POSSIBLE
IN ANY THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....S 10-15 EASING TO 5-10 MPH.
CWR.................90 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. PERIODS OF RAIN. CHANCE OF RAIN: 90
PERCENT. RAIN AMOUNT: 0.10-0.20".
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MIN HUMIDITY........83-87 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SE 2-5 MPH. GUSTS TO 8 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........SE 5-8 MPH. GUSTS TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....S 15 MPH.
CWR.................76 PERCENT.
FORECASTER...SPILDE
REQUESTED BY...STACY AINSLIE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2525098.0/MFR
.DELDT 11/04/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL STACY.AINSLIE@USDA.GOV
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