500
FNUS76 KMFR 051653
FWSMFR
SPOT FORECAST FOR GBI TRAIL CREW #2 LEMOLO LAKE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
853 AM PST WED NOV 5 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0900 PST ON NOVEMBER 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
IT WILL REMAIN BREEZY TODAY WITH SHOWERS, BUT ALSO
TIMES WHERE IT ISN'T RAINING. INSTABILITY COULD RESULT IN ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING, SO BE AWARE OF LIGHTNING RISK.
ANY STORM WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BRING BRIEF DOWNPOURS, HAIL AND
STRONG WIND GUSTS. ONSHORE FLOW AND UPSLOPE FLOW INTO THE CASCADE
FOOTHILLS SHOULD MAINTAIN SHOWERS OVERNIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING,
BUT WITH LESS COVERAGE THAN TODAY. ANOTHER LOW WILL BRING SOME RAIN,
ESPECIALLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. SHOWERS LINGER FRIDAY MORNING, THEN
DRIER WEATHER RETURNS THIS WEEKEND.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. PERIODS OF RAIN. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN:
NEAR 100 PERCENT. RAIN AMOUNT: 0.25-0.50".
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.16 PERCENT (AFTERNOON).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....47.
MIN HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SW 4-7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 11 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........SW 8-14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 24 MPH. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SW 20-25 MPH.
CWR.................NEAR 100 PERCENT.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING, THEN SHOWERS
OVERNIGHT. CHANCE OF RAIN: NEAR 100 PERCENT.
RAIN AMOUNT: 0.15-0.30".
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.17 PERCENT (EVENING).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SW 3-7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 8 MPH, EASING TO
1-3 MPH OVERNIGHT.
WIND (20 FT)........SW 8-14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH, EASING TO
3-6 MPH OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SW 10-15 MPH.
CWR.................90 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. PERIODS OF RAIN. CHANCE OF RAIN: NEAR
100 PERCENT. RAIN AMOUNT: 0.20-0.40".
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.2 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48.
MIN HUMIDITY........85-89 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....S 2-4 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........S 3-7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 16 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SW 15 MPH.
CWR.................90 PERCENT.
FORECASTER...SPILDE
REQUESTED BY...BRIAN LESTER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2525195.0/MFR
.DELDT 11/05/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL ORRIC@FIRENET.GOV
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