494  
FNUS76 KMFR 052137  
FWSMFR  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR LUCAS RX...GRAYBACK FORESTRY  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR  
137 PM PST WED NOV 5 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PST ON NOVEMBER 06.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE BURN AREA THROUGH TONIGHT.  
ANOTHER FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH THE AREA THURSDAY, AND WHILE WINDS  
WILL BE BREEZY AT TIMES, THE EVENT WILL NOT BE NEARLY AS STRONG AS  
THE PREVIOUS EVENT. UP TO A HALF AN INCH OF ADDITIONAL RAIN IS POSSIBLE  
TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. CONDITIONS WILL DRY OUT FRIDAY  
AND REMAIN DRY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.  
 
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.5 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.  
MIN HUMIDITY........80-85 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 3-4 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 5-9 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.  
CWR.................90 PERCENT.  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN IN THE EVENING,  
THEN RAIN LIKELY OVERNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.6 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 1-2 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 2-4 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.  
CWR.................60 PERCENT.  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE (25-35%) OF RAIN IN  
THE MORNING.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.  
MIN HUMIDITY........65-70 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NEAR CALM IN THE MORNING, BECOMING SOUTHWEST  
2-3 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........NEAR CALM IN THE MORNING, BECOMING SOUTHWEST  
3-5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
 

 
FORECASTER...NIEUWENHUIS  
REQUESTED BY...ARIC COLEMAN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2525225.0/MFR  
.DELDT 11/05/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL ARIC@GRAYBACKFORESTRY.COM  
 
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