934  
FNUS76 KMFR 170026  
FWSMFR  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CRAGGY PEAK LANDING PILE-OAK KNOLL...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR  
426 PM PST SUN NOV 16 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PST ON NOVEMBER 17.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
ONCE RAIN COMES TO AN END ON MONDAY NIGHT, STRONG  
VALLEY INVERSIONS WILL DEVELOP UNDER BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE.  
WINDS WILL BECOME MAINLY TERRAIN DRIVEN, AND MIXING WILL BE  
NEGLIGIBLE AT BEST. ANOTHER FRONT ARRIVES LATE WEDNESDAY INTO  
THURSDAY WITH INCREASED SOUTH WINDS AND ANOTHER CHANCE FOR  
WETTING RAINS.  
   
MONDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN, TAPERING OFF IN THE  
AFTERNOON. 0.10-0.15 INCHES OF RAIN EXPECTED.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.  
MIN HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST 1-3 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST 3-5 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH.  
CWR.................50 PERCENT.  
   
MONDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36.  
MAX HUMIDITY........AROUND 95 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NEAR CALM.  
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 1-2 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 2 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.  
MIN HUMIDITY........75-80 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NEAR CALM.  
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 1-2 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 4 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
 
 
FORECASTER...NIEUWENHUIS  
REQUESTED BY...FRANK HENDERSON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2525878.0/MFR  
.DELDT 11/17/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL FRANK.HENDERSON@USDA.GOV  
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