014  
FNUS76 KMFR 170107  
FWSMFR  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR HAPPY CAMP HAND PILES GRIDDER RIDGE...US FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR  
507 PM PST SUN NOV 16 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 PST ON NOVEMBER 17.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
ONCE RAIN COMES TO AN END ON MONDAY NIGHT, STRONG  
VALLEY INVERSIONS WILL DEVELOP UNDER BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE.  
WINDS WILL BECOME MAINLY TERRAIN DRIVEN, AND MIXING WILL BE  
NEGLIGIBLE AT BEST. ANOTHER FRONT ARRIVES LATE WEDNESDAY INTO  
THURSDAY WITH INCREASED SOUTH WINDS AND ANOTHER CHANCE FOR  
WETTING RAINS.  
   
MONDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN, TAPERING OFF THROUGH  
THE AFTERNOON. 0.20-0.25 INCHES OF RAIN EXPECTED.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.  
MIN HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST 1-2 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 2-4 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 7 MPH.  
CWR.................75 PERCENT.  
   
MONDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. LINGERING LIGHT SHOWERS.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35.  
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST AROUND 2 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST 3-4 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH.  
CWR.................6 PERCENT.  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.  
MIN HUMIDITY........75-80 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST TO NORTHEAST 2-3 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST TO NORTHEAST 4-6 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 8 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
 
 
FORECASTER...NIEUWENHUIS  
REQUESTED BY...CHRISTOPHER SCHLOSSERPRUKOP  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2526041.0/MFR  
.DELDT 11/17/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL CHRISTOPHER.SCHLOSSERPRUKOP@USDA.GOV,CHRISTOPHER.WARE@USDA.GOV  
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