552  
FNUS76 KMFR 170239 CCA  
FWSMFR  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR MANZANITA MACHINE PILES...CORRECTED  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR  
639 PM PST SUN NOV 16 2025  
 
CORRECTED TO ADD EXTENDED FORECAST  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 PST ON NOVEMBER 17.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
LOW PRESSURE WILL BRING INTERMITTENT SNOW TO THE BURN  
SITE MONDAY, BUT ANY THAT DOES FALL WILL LIKELY MELT, RATHER THAN  
ACCUMULATE (THERE COULD BE A LITTLE ACCUMULATION ON NON-PAVED SURFACES.)  
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN TUESDAY AND THINGS DRY OUT. DRY WEATHER REMAINS  
INTO WEDNESDAY, THEN THE NEXT WEATHER SYSTEM WILL MOVE IN THURSDAY WITH  
A CHANCE OF PRECIP, BUT CONFIDENCE IN THE SPECIFICS IS LOW AT THIS TIME.  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. OCCASIONAL SNOW. CHANCE OF PRECIPITAITON:  
70 PERCENT. SNOW AMOUNT: TRACE-1".  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....35.  
MIN HUMIDITY........80-90 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....S 5-10 MPH SHIFTING TO W OR NW 2-5 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........S 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 22 MPH EARLY,  
SHIFTING TO W OR NW 5-8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....S 15-20 MPH BECOMING W OR NW 10-15 MPH.  
CWR.................35 PERCENT.  
   
MONDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........A 40% CHANCE OF SNOW IN THE EVENING, THEN MOSTLY  
CLOUDY. SNOW AMOUNT: 0-TRACE.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-34.  
MAX HUMIDITY........NEAR 100 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....N 1-3 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........N 2-6 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO NEAR SURFACE.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 9 MPH.  
CWR.................26 PERCENT.  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....40-42.  
MIN HUMIDITY........60-70 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NE 1-4 MPH SHIFTING TO W OR NW IN THE AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........NE 5-7 MPH SHIFTING TO W OR NW IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NE 5-10 MPH BECOMING W OR NW.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
 
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. EAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER  
20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 9 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER  
20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.  
 

 
FORECASTER...SPILDE  
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS CROWL  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2525879.1/MFR  
.DELDT 11/17/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL CHRISTOPHER.CROWL@USDA.GOV  
 
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