876  
FNUS76 KMFR 170252  
FWSMFR  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR MANZANITA MACHINE PILES...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR  
652 PM PST SUN NOV 16 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PST ON NOVEMBER 19.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
DRY WEATHER REMAINS INTO WEDNESDAY, THEN THE NEXT WEATHER  
SYSTEM WILL MOVE IN WED NIGHT OR THURSDAY WITH A CHANCE OF PRECIP, BUT  
CONFIDENCE IN THE SPECIFICS (TIMING, AMOUNTS) IS LOW AT THIS TIME.  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.  
MIN HUMIDITY........58-67 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SE 1-2 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SW IN THE AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........SE 2-5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SW IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SW 5-10 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 40% CHANCE OF SNOW IN THE LATE EVENING  
AND OVERNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 30.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....S 1-2 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........S 4-9 MPH. GUSTS TO 17 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO NEAR SURFACE.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....S 10-15 MPH.  
CWR.................16 PERCENT.  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 50% CHANCE OF SNOW.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.1 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....33-35.  
MIN HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....S 1-3 MPH SHIFTING TO W.  
WIND (20 FT)........S 4-9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO W IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SW 10-15 MPH.  
CWR.................25 PERCENT.  
 

 
FORECASTER...SPILDE  
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS CROWL  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2525976.0/MFR  
.DELDT 11/17/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL CHRISTOPHER.CROWL@USDA.GOV  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab OR Page
The Nexlab CA Page Main Text Page